Fifa International · resolved market
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb66aa00883f9f1a4a8a4d3231ff7b2d194d26b0da340d6103f2c78be4a6f16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 3c | 6,743$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…6586backed No | 76c | 3,707$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 23c | 3,416$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.51 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 2,619$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 1,243$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.11 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 1,222$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.39 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 77c | 911.41$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.62 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 3c | 902.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 678.46$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yes | 5c | 671.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 8c | 615.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 7c | 569.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 6c | 498.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed No | 75c | 405$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 10c | 385.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 7c | 365$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 7c | 318.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 5c | 314.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 262.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 77c | 213$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…9e9dbacked No | 75c | 192.49$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…e4c3backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 22c | 79.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes | 25c | 75.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Yes | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…a667backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…761bbacked No | 75c | 54.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 75c | 51.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…59fdbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 73c | 32.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 78c | 17.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5Over won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 5.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 6.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 7.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 8.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 1.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 2.5Under won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceCanada won
- Spread: Canada (-1.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-2.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-4.5)South Africa won
- Spread: Canada (-5.5)South Africa won
- Spread: South Africa (-1.5)Canada won
- Spread: South Africa (-2.5)Canada won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.