MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ea54fcd5747b326c31912e6e67ec846ec28e49dc66c5cc15b772ed346e3dd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Cincinnati Reds, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 210,246$130,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,980.26 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 163,000$62,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,300.85 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 20,466$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 9,427$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.75 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 9,060$3,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.4 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 8,534$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.17 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 7,849$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.52 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 7,671$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.49 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 7,154$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.85 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 6,244$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.85 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 6,232$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.45 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 5,742$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.84 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 4,842$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 4,385$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 4,037$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.11 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 3,591$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 3,515$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.77 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 3,493$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.62 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 3,331$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.73 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 3,178$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 2,883$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 2,741$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.45 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 2,695$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.63 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 2,432$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,399$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.54 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,772$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.46 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 1,239$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.81 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 1,165$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 1,162$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,109$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.51 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…bb32backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,024$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.66 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…f04bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 954.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 804.26$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.53 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 740.13$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 735.55$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.35 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 697.93$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.69 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 675.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 644.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 555$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 522.77$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 470.9$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 458.19$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 436.78$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.53 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 420$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 405.84$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 5c | 402.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 394$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 394$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 391.54$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.33 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 381.06$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.61 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 381$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 378.41$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 375$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 346.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 344.64$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 341.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 339.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 326.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 312.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.86 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 309$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 299.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 295.86$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 291$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 251.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 241.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 221.7$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 212$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 210$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 205.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 193.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 185.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 182.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 179.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 175.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 175.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…f6dfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 164.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 286 | 40.9%117 W · 169 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 156.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.