MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffcc16466bec36ad1a0d27106b53eaf338b4013c40fa6fdf446819e14318141d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Cincinnati Reds, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $771,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $795,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $771,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 188,855$79,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,318.91 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 150,000$87,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,999.99 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 143,855$59,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,938.72 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 44,444$18,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,666.48 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 42,484$17,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,418.6 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 40,557$23,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,868.44 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 35,492$23,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,558.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 28,266$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 25,911$15,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,346.22 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 23,482$13,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,862.47 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 22,322$13,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,152.02 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 19,693$12,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,587.7 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 16,312$11,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 14,676$8,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,163.86 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 14,415$8,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,843.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 12,962$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,184.67 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 12,646$7,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,184.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 12,530$9,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.84 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 12,455$4,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594.27 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 11,551$6,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,820.86 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 9,350$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 8,464$5,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 8,412$4,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.74 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 7,715$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.92 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 5,781$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.32 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 5,762$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 5,585$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,784$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.44 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 4,676$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.92 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 4,167$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.44 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 3,985$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.88 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 3,910$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.9 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 3,123$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cincinnati Reds | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 2,853$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.15 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,770$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 2,738$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.98 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 2,624$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.24 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 2,582$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.89 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,554$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.65 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 2,486$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.46 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,057$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.27 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,036$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 2,010$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…e447backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,538$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.31 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,498$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.38 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,456$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.76 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,371$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.68 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,288$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.54 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 1,090$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,087$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.8 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 1,009$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.24 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 1,006$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 849$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.09 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 802.25$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 779.03$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.92 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 758.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 751.72$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.72 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 724$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.08 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…c4e9backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 694.96$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 664$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.73 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 652.78$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 642.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 626$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 599.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 577.07$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.6 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 512.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 477.44$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.43 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 441.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 429.18$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.82 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 400$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 387.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 376.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 374$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 367$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 343.06$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.