MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7064b4bf253860b051624b34e4b58db0a05e63b08248c7f337407ea1ddcf58ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 44c | 260,170$114,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,942.32 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 56c | 200,000$112,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 56c | 25,961$14,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,626.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 53c | 21,500$11,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,484.99 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 55c | 15,777$8,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,677.58 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 9,500$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229.18 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 8,340$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,670.64 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 47c | 5,700$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 5,409$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Under | 45c | 4,414$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.67 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 45c | 4,120$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.99 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 57c | 3,790$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.16 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 3,611$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.37 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 47c | 2,230$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.08 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.99 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.83 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 1,070$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.4 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.96 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 942.45$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 833.33$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 45c | 804.66$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.56 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 767.39$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 56c | 761.5$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.44 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 45c | 746$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.3 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 56c | 698.16$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.97 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 667$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.93 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 44c | 663.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.73 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 46c | 618.04$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.74 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 45c | 597$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.36 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 56c | 502.68$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.95 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Over | 53c | 402.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.57 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 44c | 370.82$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 53c | 334.92$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 52c | 311.85$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 45c | 307$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 44c | 300$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 58c | 296.65$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 288$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 285.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 57c | 242.23$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 12c | 241.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 45c | 233$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 53c | 214.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 38c | 210$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 57c | 196.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 57c | 194$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 79c | 181.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Over | 53c | 177.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 174$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 43c | 159.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Under | 46c | 159$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Over | 53c | 148.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 46c | 131.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 47c | 129$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 118.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 48c | 115.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 45c | 110.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 55c | 107.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 100.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1565…1eb7backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 62c | 94.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 90.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 35c | 87.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 80.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 57c | 77.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 46c | 73.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 55c | 72.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 38c | 72.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 53c | 69.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Under | 46c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…f273backed Over | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 41c | 65.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.