TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bastad: Mona Barthel vs Lola Radivojevic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lola Radivojevicof Mona Barthel, Lola Radivojevic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Mona Barthel26c102,764$26,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,287.49258.7%54 W · 38 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lola Radivojevic76c59,502$45,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,049.098,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lola Radivojevic73c29,241$21,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,015.7811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Mona Barthel21c25,646$5,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,302.0917837.6%67 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Lola Radivojevic78c10,664$8,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.4793740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lola Radivojevic74c1,396$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.078,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mona Barthel41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4109,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Lola Radivojevic63c991.46$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.831,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbadd…7518backed Mona Barthel37c603.65$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lola Radivojevic74c554.99$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.085,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Mona Barthel14c445.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.973,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Lola Radivojevic59c363$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8336954.2%200 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Mona Barthel41c354.48$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Mona Barthel18c320.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1782958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Lola Radivojevic59c317.02$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9943054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Lola Radivojevic63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7411443.9%50 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x029e…b19cbacked Lola Radivojevic63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7411644%51 W · 65 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed Lola Radivojevic63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7410742.1%45 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed Lola Radivojevic63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748444%37 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lola Radivojevic74c176.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.556,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Lola Radivojevic77c157$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.754,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Mona Barthel8c144.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9938911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Lola Radivojevic77c133.85$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3135649.4%176 W · 180 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Lola Radivojevic78c128$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.655,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Mona Barthel32c125.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.881,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Mona Barthel39c125$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3332726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Mona Barthel28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2824740.1%99 W · 148 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Mona Barthel30c99.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.957449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Lola Radivojevic68c94.34$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3025349%124 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28be…6dbebacked Mona Barthel32c94.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023536.6%86 W · 149 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d02…0732backed Mona Barthel22c92.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lola Radivojevic79c78.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.546,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Lola Radivojevic77c72.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.572,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Lola Radivojevic66c72.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4419349.7%96 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Mona Barthel19c60.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6263144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…70b1backed Lola Radivojevic68c60.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.074763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Lola Radivojevic59c51.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2824349.4%120 W · 123 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Lola Radivojevic63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.548738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Lola Radivojevic78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Lola Radivojevic63c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0230040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd2…87f4backed Lola Radivojevic63c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0215838%60 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Lola Radivojevic63c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0218841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked Lola Radivojevic63c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0215340.5%62 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Lola Radivojevic59c31.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8432952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd5…805abacked Lola Radivojevic62c30.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.794868.8%33 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Mona Barthel32c30.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.041,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Mona Barthel39c30.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7118537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Lola Radivojevic66c24.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.511,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Lola Radivojevic77c21.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.91,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Lola Radivojevic79c17.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.76,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Lola Radivojevic69c16.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1722366.8%149 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Lola Radivojevic70c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5333557%191 W · 144 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42fe…b1d0backed Lola Radivojevic79c14.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.882466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.