Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Momoko Kobori vs Elizabeth Mandlik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x509b0e13a3007f986e6b2563e8d9818711d114a3399d6cc192a429ee53eebd0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elizabeth Mandlikof Momoko Kobori, Elizabeth Mandlik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3798…2ac6backed Momoko Kobori | 7c | 25,524$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 69c | 19,000$13,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,864.05 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Momoko Kobori | 7c | 15,443$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.02 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Momoko Kobori | 31c | 14,699$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.17 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Momoko Kobori | 5c | 5,892$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.31 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Momoko Kobori | 27c | 5,561$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.96 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Momoko Kobori | 32c | 4,759$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.19 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 73c | 3,076$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.04 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Momoko Kobori | 3c | 2,366$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Momoko Kobori | 1c | 2,337$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Momoko Kobori | 10c | 2,062$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Momoko Kobori | 2c | 2,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 71c | 1,972$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.56 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 70c | 1,511$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.65 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Momoko Kobori | 11c | 1,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Momoko Kobori | 31c | 999.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Momoko Kobori | 27c | 899$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Momoko Kobori | 26c | 838.03$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Momoko Kobori | 29c | 754.1$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Momoko Kobori | 7c | 594.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Momoko Kobori | 28c | 538.58$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Momoko Kobori | 7c | 422.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 302 | 35.1%106 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 79c | 401.54$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Momoko Kobori | 30c | 274.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 71c | 251.07$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Momoko Kobori | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Momoko Kobori | 29c | 201.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 71c | 197$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Momoko Kobori | 9c | 174.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 68c | 173.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 108 | 59.3%64 W · 44 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 80c | 169.3$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 67c | 163.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Momoko Kobori | 27c | 153.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Momoko Kobori | 31c | 148$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Momoko Kobori | 27c | 145.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 68c | 143.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Momoko Kobori | 7c | 142.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…b6a0backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 74c | 137.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 74c | 136.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 75c | 134.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Momoko Kobori | 33c | 127.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Momoko Kobori | 26c | 127.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Momoko Kobori | 29c | 94.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Momoko Kobori | 32c | 86.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Momoko Kobori | 23c | 71.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…805abacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 71c | 71.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…a1c8backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 72c | 71.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Momoko Kobori | 34c | 66.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Momoko Kobori | 32c | 63.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Momoko Kobori | 32c | 62.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Momoko Kobori | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Momoko Kobori | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Momoko Kobori | 27c | 59.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017e…c58ebacked Momoko Kobori | 26c | 58.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Momoko Kobori | 29c | 56.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Momoko Kobori | 28c | 54.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Momoko Kobori | 30c | 53.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Momoko Kobori | 30c | 41.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 73c | 41.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaff…688cbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 74c | 40.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee4…8804backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 69c | 38.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Momoko Kobori | 32c | 34.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…77a0backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 74c | 27.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 68c | 26.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 70c | 23.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 73c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 71c | 19.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 75c | 16.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 73c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.