TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaff…688c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanovbacked Khumoun Sultanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.77
Cincinnati Open: Vit Kopriva vs Quentin Halysbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Plovdiv 2: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Petr Brunclikbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ergi Kirkin vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ergi Kirkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Fares Zakaria vs Daniil Glinkabacked Fares Zakaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.17
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Trevor Svajda vs Elias Ymerbacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
ITF Denia: Michiel De Krom vs Javier Barranco Cosanobacked Javier Barranco Cosano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$10.72
ITF Cordenons: Francesca Curmi vs Martina Trevisanbacked Francesca Curmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Livesport Prague Open: Mai Hontama vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$10
ITF Brisbane: Amy Stevens vs I Wen Wanbacked I Wen Wan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
ITF Amstetten: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Julie Pastikovabacked Anna-Lena Friedsam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Winnipeg: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
ITF Segrate: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Yanis Ghazouani Durandbacked Yanis Ghazouani Durand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Tampere: Oskari Paldanius vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Palermo: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Jennifer Ruggeri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$23.9
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Newport: Momoko Kobori vs Elizabeth Mandlikbacked Elizabeth Mandlik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$10.71
Iasi: Jerome Kym vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Braunschweig: Daniel Rincon vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.92
Contrexeville: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.52
Trieste: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.15
Braunschweig: Laslo Djere vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$42.74
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$40.82
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+271%+$724.81
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.55
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$20.42
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.34
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$29.48
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$19.42
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of July 27 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 27 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of July 27 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$72.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$246.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.75
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Middlesexbacked Hampshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.