Tennis · resolved market
ITF Denia: Michiel De Krom vs Javier Barranco Cosano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bae4b23a126806be98d8a3c51ceab1911936bd767aba3795a16c74f494ed9fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Javier Barranco Cosanoof Michiel De Krom, Javier Barranco Cosano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Michiel De Krom | 25c | 5,841$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.9 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Javier Barranco Cosano | 75c | 4,679$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.42 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Javier Barranco Cosano | 77c | 3,247$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.75 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Javier Barranco Cosano | 76c | 1,011$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.69 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Javier Barranco Cosano | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Javier Barranco Cosano | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Javier Barranco Cosano | 76c | 540.58$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Michiel De Krom | 22c | 532.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Michiel De Krom | 26c | 483.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Javier Barranco Cosano | 75c | 479.78$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michiel De Krom | 21c | 411.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Javier Barranco Cosano | 79c | 384$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michiel De Krom | 24c | 302.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Michiel De Krom | 45c | 253.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Javier Barranco Cosano | 73c | 247.41$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Javier Barranco Cosano | 78c | 212.48$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Javier Barranco Cosano | 80c | 165.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed Michiel De Krom | 25c | 142$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Javier Barranco Cosano | 76c | 130.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Michiel De Krom | 20c | 98.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Michiel De Krom | 23c | 93.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Michiel De Krom | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Michiel De Krom | 55c | 78.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Michiel De Krom | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaff…688cbacked Javier Barranco Cosano | 79c | 50.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Michiel De Krom | 44c | 50.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Javier Barranco Cosano | 76c | 43.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Javier Barranco Cosano | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Javier Barranco Cosano | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Javier Barranco Cosano | 77c | 25.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Javier Barranco Cosano | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed Javier Barranco Cosano | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Javier Barranco Cosano | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.