TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tampere: Oskari Paldanius vs Franco Roncadelli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franco Roncadelliof Oskari Paldanius, Franco Roncadelli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Oskari Paldanius15c4,494$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.548,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Oskari Paldanius33c2,563$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.771729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Franco Roncadelli80c2,502$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.8294068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Franco Roncadelli77c2,037$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.4948855.9%273 W · 215 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Oskari Paldanius20c1,718$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.1728933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Franco Roncadelli79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.822450%12 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Franco Roncadelli73c915.11$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.018,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Oskari Paldanius21c750.8$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.534,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Franco Roncadelli78c685.59$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Franco Roncadelli80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12510266.7%68 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Oskari Paldanius21c600$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Oskari Paldanius21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1267,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Franco Roncadelli79c539$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.191,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Oskari Paldanius25c499.47$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.891,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Franco Roncadelli66c449$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.664,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Oskari Paldanius17c447.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.822,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Oskari Paldanius20c425.73$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.853,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Franco Roncadelli68c370$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.44,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Oskari Paldanius21c367.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.982,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Oskari Paldanius22c353.15$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6955941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Oskari Paldanius12c351.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1736621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Oskari Paldanius21c336$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.561,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Oskari Paldanius35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Franco Roncadelli78c279.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.635164.1%225 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Oskari Paldanius23c260.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.051,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fc…7ac9backed Franco Roncadelli78c257.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.514151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed Oskari Paldanius22c256.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5416051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Franco Roncadelli79c254.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3533551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x850f…b208backed Oskari Paldanius20c244.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Oskari Paldanius18c244.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4457950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Franco Roncadelli69c243.33$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4382958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Franco Roncadelli75c242.24$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6216870.8%119 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Oskari Paldanius21c236.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Franco Roncadelli71c201.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.582,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Oskari Paldanius9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe081…0bf5backed Oskari Paldanius10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208123.5%19 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Oskari Paldanius10c199.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2058639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed Oskari Paldanius21c164.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Franco Roncadelli67c160$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.85,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0420…7058backed Oskari Paldanius22c157.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Franco Roncadelli64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2511559.1%68 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Oskari Paldanius15c152.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8663648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Oskari Paldanius21c140$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.783447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Oskari Paldanius12c139.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.326855.9%38 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Oskari Paldanius22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014036.4%51 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Franco Roncadelli79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5827871.6%199 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f64…2aacbacked Franco Roncadelli79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.587452.7%39 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe10f…e8bbbacked Franco Roncadelli80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2518572.4%134 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7b…b79fbacked Franco Roncadelli77c123.29$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.299867.3%66 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Oskari Paldanius21c113.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.871,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Franco Roncadelli79c111.39$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.392,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…147fbacked Franco Roncadelli69c103.86$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.869142.9%39 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Oskari Paldanius22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Franco Roncadelli68c99.54$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.866,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Oskari Paldanius22c94.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8190152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Oskari Paldanius21c88.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.042,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Oskari Paldanius21c88.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9460341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf499…49f3backed Franco Roncadelli80c78.21$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.64475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00c…4820backed Oskari Paldanius17c74.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.665827.6%16 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Oskari Paldanius22c68.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.161,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Franco Roncadelli76c65.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.74456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaff…688cbacked Franco Roncadelli78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Oskari Paldanius24c61.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.753,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oskari Paldanius18c59.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Oskari Paldanius22c58.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9154746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Oskari Paldanius25c56.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.484753.2%25 W · 22 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+76.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Franco Roncadelli78c54.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.914,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Oskari Paldanius21c51.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7333048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Oskari Paldanius22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Oskari Paldanius24c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5233550.1%168 W · 167 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18ad…4e13backed Franco Roncadelli80c43.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc015…0a39backed Oskari Paldanius23c43.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…fe38backed Franco Roncadelli80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Franco Roncadelli78c31.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.025642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Oskari Paldanius34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Oskari Paldanius35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Oskari Paldanius35c29.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Franco Roncadelli77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9781457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff0…9885backed Franco Roncadelli78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Franco Roncadelli78c25.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6445751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea6f…6572backed Franco Roncadelli64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912767.7%86 W · 41 L+15.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe01…b45dbacked Franco Roncadelli79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2522377.6%173 W · 50 L+0.6wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b92…c894backed Franco Roncadelli79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.256100%6 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Franco Roncadelli80c22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.497852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Franco Roncadelli76c20.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9514250%71 W · 71 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Franco Roncadelli76c20.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.974,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e5…2300backed Franco Roncadelli77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65589.1%49 W · 6 L+9.3wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+23.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4b19…69dfbacked Franco Roncadelli78c19.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Franco Roncadelli77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4812162%75 W · 46 L-14.3wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-13.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16d6…ef00backed Franco Roncadelli79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Franco Roncadelli77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.141,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc52…3d01backed Franco Roncadelli79c17.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Franco Roncadelli77c16.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.731841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Franco Roncadelli80c15.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0333673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Franco Roncadelli78c13.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d0…a663backed Franco Roncadelli80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52661.5%16 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.