MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdae2fd2aaeeb832e13fc564457a1ca2ba7da317d89337f8b55daf16a72befdcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,270,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,298,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,270,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 572,698$376,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376,881.91 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 254,313$93,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,058.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 170,990$55,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,050.62 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 153,002$57,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,542.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 63,719$42,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,777.36 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 34,394$11,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,781.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…3974backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 28,658$18,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,627.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 22,009$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 24c | 16,176$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.17 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,705.88 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 14,331$9,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,575.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 12,789$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,952.39 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 12,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 10,954$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 9,544$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,319.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 9,256$6,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,298.64 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 9,108$6,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,063.32 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 9,099$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.26 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 8,930$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,072.19 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 8,879$5,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 8,523$2,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,784.46 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 7,600$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,319.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 7,572$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.15 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 7,417$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.24 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 6,000$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 0c | 5,700$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 5,460$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.38 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 5,196$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.64 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 5,183$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.16 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 5,082$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.85 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 19c | 4,496$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 4,418$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 4,374$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.16 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 4,194$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.55 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 2c | 4,180$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 4,163$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.89 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 1c | 4,118$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 4,070$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.69 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 3,900$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.77 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 3,766$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.56 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 3,719$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.43 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 3,663$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.09 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 3,173$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.7 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 1c | 3,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 3,072$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.48 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 2,607$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.11 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 2,426$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 2,298$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 2,296$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.25 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 2,000$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.42 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 1,969$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.55 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 1,860$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 1,652$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.85 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 1,579$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.5 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 1,505$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.37 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 1,495$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.95 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 1,492$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.17 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 1,489$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.02 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed09…e314backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 1,467$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 1,401$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.59 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f4…9efdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 1,365$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.83 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,362$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.75 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 1,348$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…3587backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 1,285$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.6 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 1,284$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.12 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,252$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 1,172$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 1,111$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.22 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 1,020$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 1,008$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.12 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…6c6abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 18c | 919.61$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.47 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 6c | 908.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 872.78$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 846.09$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.3 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 800$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.16 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 790.77$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 790.43$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.59 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 763.95$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.12 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 744$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.77 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 736$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.76 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 712.62$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.42 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…a5a1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 696.9$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b1…8f7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 695.72$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 19c | 686$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.33 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 685$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.1 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 661.19$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 653.66$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 650.36$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.74 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-6.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.