TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5dab…22e1backed Under48c39,580$18,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,998.191637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Over57c31,560$17,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,570.763060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over59c25,000$14,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,309.9161351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over52c17,393$9,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,264.5684949.1%417 W · 432 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c14,262$7,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,302.94,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under42c12,965$5,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,482.2811,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under42c12,862$5,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,402.1488446.3%409 W · 475 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over58c12,500$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,25050152.5%263 W · 238 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c9,999$4,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,747.768,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over52c8,752$4,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,198.084,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Under43c8,511$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.66747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over51c8,090$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.1119343.5%84 W · 109 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c7,210$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.74,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c5,122$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.3610,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c4,286$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.646,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under43c4,085$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.0852045.2%235 W · 285 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over49c3,589$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+65%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c3,263$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.645,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c2,944$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.963,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c2,646$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.072,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over58c2,632$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.2638453.6%206 W · 178 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over58c2,632$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.2357053.3%304 W · 266 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under48c2,493$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.598,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under41c2,258$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.051,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under51c2,250$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.575248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Under50c2,011$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.544945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under43c2,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85016948.5%82 W · 87 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Under43c1,974$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8495152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over58c1,404$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.4787850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under45c1,203$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.572,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56448653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under49c1,181$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.6729147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under44c1,014$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.31,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under44c975.66$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2645545.7%208 W · 247 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Over58c965.52$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.524751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over52c937.27$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.8961450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under50c936$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46857753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Under44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under41c548.79$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22539948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21532850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20522638.5%87 W · 139 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c452$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4892554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17246048.5%223 W · 237 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over52c394.25$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2441141.4%170 W · 241 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.81,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under43c348.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013345.9%61 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011148.6%54 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Over58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c266.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over77c246$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.885,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over51c234.57$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9341346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under35c232.37$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.631,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under42c223.21$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7565749.2%323 W · 334 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c210$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.21,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under45c199.98$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9916753.9%90 W · 77 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c192.54$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.330652%159 W · 147 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under41c174$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3422448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over56c173.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5197050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under42c167.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.78,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c164$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.242,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c153.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9899947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over50c148.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.251,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under44c135.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.972,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over50c118.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2717047.1%80 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over52c115.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3748150.7%244 W · 237 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e69…30a0backed Under47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.914654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under47c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3521449.5%106 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under44c105$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.253950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Over58c103.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.568056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.52,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3421149.3%104 W · 107 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2573849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Under28c96.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.824843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5299…c4e0backed Over58c94.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.831181.8%9 W · 2 L+5.6wins+0.51per pick31cpaid+173.4%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Under45c91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9568846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over50c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.525748.2%124 W · 133 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2573949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over56c85.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.611,73749.1%852 W · 885 L+7.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c83.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.132,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Under43c81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8326444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,82854.1%989 W · 839 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c71.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.363,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2752852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under44c69.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.618045.6%82 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069a…1dc4backed Over58c67.29$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under46c55.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1322151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.528147.7%134 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0828639.2%112 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074143.5%322 W · 419 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8611151.4%57 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under49c40.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3255…ffb9backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018153.6%97 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.