MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb06cef8614c330248ed45ee7ee90e56674a44bce0af00a775190d6b5ac2a3321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 40c | 22,381$8,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,428.6 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 56c | 13,093$7,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,327.3 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 46c | 10,839$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 5,936$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 4,551$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.23 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 3,875$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Over | 42c | 2,066$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.61 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.9 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 1,317$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 1,233$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 1,193$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.88 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 1,174$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 1,036$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 37c | 1,008$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.89 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Under | 36c | 1,008$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.8 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 45c | 995.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.62 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 765$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 45c | 750$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 33c | 613.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.61 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 61c | 608.34$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.09 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 11c | 557.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 58c | 468.71$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…867ebacked Under | 73c | 462$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 56c | 449.04$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.46 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 40c | 448.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Under | 48c | 412.6$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 40c | 361.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 57c | 357.04$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f34…b8f2backed Under | 53c | 355.36$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 50c | 341.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 300$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 274.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 49c | 259.47$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 60c | 240$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 57c | 219.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 39c | 210$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 40c | 202.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 200.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Over | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 44c | 187.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 151.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 47c | 149.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 46c | 146.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 61c | 123.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 41c | 122.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 36c | 119.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 36c | 113.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Over | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 55c | 110.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4080…8b41backed Under | 71c | 110.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 45c | 108.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 46c | 104.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 52c | 96.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Over | 18c | 95.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Under | 60c | 89.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Under | 53c | 89.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 49c | 88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 85.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Under | 60c | 81.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2411…d620backed Under | 62c | 79.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 43c | 76.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 53c | 72.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 71.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Over | 46c | 65.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 56c | 60.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 45c | 55.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 49c | 55.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Over | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 44c | 54.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 36c | 53.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 43c | 52.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Over | 48c | 48.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 59c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Over | 72c | 41.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1565…1eb7backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 47c | 37.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 54c | 34.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 62c | 33.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Over | 39c | 33.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…755dbacked Over | 45c | 32.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…86bcbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Athletics won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Athletics won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-5.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.