TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$334,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$334,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under48c191,228$91,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,440.4343647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over52c99,985$51,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,992.1535854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over51c70,129$35,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,895.6411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under47c70,000$32,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,099.91,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over53c41,076$21,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,567.724,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over52c19,045$9,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,967.998,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under46c18,060$8,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,766.3646949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over51c17,592$8,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,961.7711952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c16,147$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.744,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c14,348$7,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,495.634,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under62c7,451$4,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.714,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.0121748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over53c3,787$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.482,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over53c3,278$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.231,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c3,028$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.945,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c1,668$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.078,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Over46c1,341$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.257047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under47c1,156$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.623758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over52c1,099$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.471,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over51c975.76$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6436048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc4…db58backed Over23c862.49$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.872050%10 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over53c850$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under46c803$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.6255653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over53c747.53$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.192,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Under77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.35862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c592.31$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.436,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25512939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Over54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.997352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over53c468.13$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9461450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under49c415.85$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7264452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c415.32$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.112,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under63c390.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.996,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under48c334.63$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0128154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over52c307.7$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0652228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over53c303$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.262,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.461,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over52c245.42$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1534451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over65c230.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.891,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over53c220$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.62850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over55c209.82$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.419654.1%106 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over54c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.21,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over55c196.36$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over54c191.1$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.982360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79c7…2699backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Under67c180.24$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2411138.7%43 W · 68 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over52c177.88$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.540341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c164.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…b898backed Over39c140.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.333946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under55c117.84$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0674657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x083c…65f2backed Over52c114$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.281861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under31c106.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6754651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3823651.3%121 W · 115 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under50c100.57$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5499447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under50c99.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0267444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under18c97.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7854715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe935…3991backed Over52c95.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9210042%42 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Over20c94.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4788046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21eb…f4ddbacked Under48c93.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Over57c90.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.897852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.87343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over54c83.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under48c82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6453950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1383053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Over42c73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6134443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Over15c72.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1710142.6%43 W · 58 L-13.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over53c66.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.472,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over53c63.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5953644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under51c59.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.212,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over23c58.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fd82backed Under48c58.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.337047.1%33 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea5…6c53backed Over53c54.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.72240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Over53c54.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.647448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over53c47.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2372655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Over53c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9144651.6%230 W · 216 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbae0…7b62backed Over60c46.03$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.513652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over53c44.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5519759.9%118 W · 79 L+21.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under51c43.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.143,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over55c41.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.572955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Over38c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.583522.9%8 W · 27 L-9.0wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over54c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4473849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb0…51cebacked Over52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a7…5ed1backed Over53c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1424263.6%154 W · 88 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x360a…376fbacked Over53c37.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c37.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x382f…4c26backed Over54c31.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b5…359dbacked Over55c30.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.724452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7539053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…e407backed Over53c27.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.711442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Over54c25.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1489950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1514745.6%67 W · 80 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Over52c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4823435%82 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under50c22.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3277647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.