Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Milos Mikovic vs Guglielmo Verdese
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5657112f0a594b578f194cac98156fe3a427ad9635b3d56eb2381d36c37089e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milos Mikovicof Milos Mikovic, Guglielmo Verdese
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Milos Mikovic | 63c | 414.44$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guglielmo Verdese | 27c | 261.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Milos Mikovic | 75c | 261.53$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milos Mikovic | 75c | 261.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Milos Mikovic | 75c | 237.57$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Guglielmo Verdese | 25c | 132.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Guglielmo Verdese | 31c | 132.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Guglielmo Verdese | 47c | 91.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Milos Mikovic | 57c | 87.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Guglielmo Verdese | 27c | 86.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Guglielmo Verdese | 37c | 81.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Guglielmo Verdese | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Guglielmo Verdese | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Guglielmo Verdese | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Guglielmo Verdese | 43c | 55.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Guglielmo Verdese | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Guglielmo Verdese | 26c | 46.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 406 | 50.7%206 W · 200 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Guglielmo Verdese | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Milos Mikovic | 59c | 43.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Milos Mikovic | 57c | 35.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 968 | 58.3%564 W · 404 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Guglielmo Verdese | 41c | 33.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 593 | 57.8%343 W · 250 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Milos Mikovic | 73c | 32.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Guglielmo Verdese | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Milos Mikovic | 63c | 17.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.