MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e6567ee6be17a25d2da8a71d231b7b4da6fec9685826c04d9818c501045cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 21,671$10,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,546.57 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 15,860$8,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,380 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 54c | 4,431$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.72 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 4,259$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.71 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 3,274$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.12 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 54c | 1,948$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.17 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 1,792$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.91 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 46c | 1,301$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 47c | 1,219$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.25 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 821$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.78 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 47c | 744.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 714.21$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.58 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 7c | 687.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 53c | 641$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.73 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 638$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.9 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 608$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.43 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 53c | 584.91$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 55c | 582.8$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.54 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 60c | 502$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 54c | 491$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.14 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Under | 47c | 423.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 55c | 390.54$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 7c | 377.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 370.09$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.55 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 316.09$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 270.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 53c | 255.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 67c | 250.25$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 246.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 70c | 240.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 39c | 235.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 229.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 69c | 224.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 188.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 48c | 165.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 61c | 164.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 55c | 160.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Under | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 141.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Over | 58c | 132.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 129.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 46c | 128.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 31c | 113.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 55c | 106$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Under | 66c | 102.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…2d37backed Over | 53c | 97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 53c | 93.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 55c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 72.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 44c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 60.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 48c | 59.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 59c | 55.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 55c | 54.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 63c | 51.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Under | 40c | 50.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 47c | 44.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 56c | 42.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 59c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Over | 42c | 40.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 53c | 35.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Under | 45c | 33.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 62c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 62c | 30.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed Under | 44c | 29.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 44c | 27.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Over | 53c | 25.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 53c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Over | 61c | 20.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 53c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 20.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.