MLB · resolved market
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd1dc171c922192e9f1ca0df99f741f72d6aecacd9f8ad766c146f10158b8b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Miami Marlins, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 55,555$29,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,110.82 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 14,977$7,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,156.55 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 14,588$7,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,002.22 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 10,867$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,234 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 10,162$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,775.09 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 5,649$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 4,420$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.37 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 4,379$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.13 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.89 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 3,694$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,394$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 3,216$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 2,620$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.12 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.2 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,484$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.92 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,074$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 957.42$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 943$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.21 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 937$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.76 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 796.44$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.22 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 749.94$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 712.74$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 697.97$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.03 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…ba88backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 659.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 452.27$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.57 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 440.9$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.45 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 439.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 370.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 346.36$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…82cfbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 272.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 244.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 221.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 179.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 154.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 147.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 143.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 138.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 131.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 127$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Miami Marlins | 33c | 121$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 116.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 112.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Colorado Rockies | 67c | 103.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 72.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 71.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 68.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…1aa4backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 53.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 47.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies | 64c | 36.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 34.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 34.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…c722backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 27.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Colorado Rockies | 72c | 26.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 25.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 22.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…8d9cbacked Colorado Rockies | 60c | 21.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 17.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.