TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof Miami Marlins, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Colorado Rockies53c55,555$29,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,110.821,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Miami Marlins48c14,977$7,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,156.552,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Colorado Rockies52c14,588$7,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,002.2231149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins48c10,867$5,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2344,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins47c10,162$4,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,775.0911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Miami Marlins50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins47c5,649$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6558,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins47c4,420$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.375,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins47c4,379$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.133,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Colorado Rockies54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.899250%46 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins46c3,694$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.1910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins47c3,394$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.251,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins37c3,216$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.078,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Colorado Rockies50c2,620$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.1229147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Miami Marlins49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.220648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Colorado Rockies50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins47c1,484$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.926,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Miami Marlins47c1,074$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50525149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins47c1,024$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.282,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Miami Marlins47c957.42$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9939948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Miami Marlins47c943$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.211,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Colorado Rockies52c937$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.7641051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Colorado Rockies50c796.44$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.2292046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins49c749.94$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.48,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Colorado Rockies49c712.74$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.547350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Miami Marlins48c697.97$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.033,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f67…ba88backed Miami Marlins3c659.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.97150%0 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins47c452.27$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.571,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Colorado Rockies50c440.9$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4561450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies61c439.97$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Miami Marlins6c370.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3718151.9%94 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Miami Marlins48c346.36$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2528154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Miami Marlins50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15058652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2c…82cfbacked Miami Marlins36c272.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Miami Marlins47c244.68$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11594549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Miami Marlins47c221.24$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.982,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Miami Marlins47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009543.2%41 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Miami Marlins48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.321,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Miami Marlins49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Miami Marlins48c179.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.632,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins49c154.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.392,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies50c152$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.952,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins34c147.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.644,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…9372backed Miami Marlins48c143.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.023857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Miami Marlins16c138.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7454715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins40c131.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.894,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies51c127$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.262,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Miami Marlins49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6054455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Miami Marlins33c121$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9319152.9%101 W · 90 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Miami Marlins37c116.82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9852228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Miami Marlins47c112.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.140753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Colorado Rockies67c103.21$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8474657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Miami Marlins47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4799447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked Miami Marlins51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116648.8%81 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Miami Marlins51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Miami Marlins48c89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7246854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Miami Marlins48c89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7272154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Miami Marlins46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.841236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Colorado Rockies50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4073849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Colorado Rockies53c72.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8839553.7%212 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Miami Marlins47c71.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.653644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins48c68.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.732,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Miami Marlins49c65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.071,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x721c…d585backed Miami Marlins37c63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.437754.5%42 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2713…43b2backed Miami Marlins48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Miami Marlins50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…1aa4backed Colorado Rockies53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins42c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.154,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b92…7c8fbacked Miami Marlins47c53.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.257058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a48…9e7bbacked Miami Marlins51c47.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.218848.9%92 W · 96 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies49c44.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.93,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1930…691cbacked Miami Marlins48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3255…ffb9backed Miami Marlins50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018053.9%97 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Miami Marlins51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies64c36.74$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.315,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Colorado Rockies50c34.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3625448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Miami Marlins48c34.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4734451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f7…c722backed Miami Marlins48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Miami Marlins47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.183053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Miami Marlins48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.434846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies50c27.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.792,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Colorado Rockies72c26.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.551,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Miami Marlins47c25.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Colorado Rockies59c22.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2587370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c77…8d9cbacked Colorado Rockies60c21.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.465141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Miami Marlins50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies59c17.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.056,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.