TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Quito: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Alan Magadan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alan Magadanof Juan Pablo Varillas, Alan Magadan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,130 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Juan Pablo Varillas72c4,500$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.6525453.1%135 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Juan Pablo Varillas15c3,250$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.418,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Alan Magadan28c2,857$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.141,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Alan Magadan28c1,964$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.271,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89fb…141bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas36c1,869$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.935949.2%29 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Juan Pablo Varillas71c1,718$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.771,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Juan Pablo Varillas46c1,261$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.851,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Alan Magadan29c981.61$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.692,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Alan Magadan45c965.65$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.6537235.2%131 W · 241 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Alan Magadan28c795.57$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.812,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Alan Magadan29c727$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.1746957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Juan Pablo Varillas73c665.6$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.894757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Juan Pablo Varillas38c637$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.51,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Alan Magadan26c600$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4442,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Alan Magadan27c518.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5213247%62 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Alan Magadan39c478.63$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.7396945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Pablo Varillas61c455$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.839,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Pablo Varillas30c434.42$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.078,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Pablo Varillas27c427.71$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Juan Pablo Varillas73c422.04$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.093,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas74c393.5$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1961152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Pablo Varillas71c381.28$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.244,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Alan Magadan58c345$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.951,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juan Pablo Varillas73c344.19$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.677,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Alan Magadan27c325.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.482,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Alan Magadan26c308.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.44,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas18c296.59$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.856,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc110…9a30backed Juan Pablo Varillas37c284.87$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7912846.1%59 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Alan Magadan28c284.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.71,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Alan Magadan70c279.5$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.173,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Juan Pablo Varillas44c251.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alan Magadan27c249.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.493,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Juan Pablo Varillas39c245.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.741,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b7…76b7backed Alan Magadan56c238.07$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.751241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Alan Magadan26c237.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.111,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alan Magadan27c234.74$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.363,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Juan Pablo Varillas55c217.01$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.785,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Juan Pablo Varillas31c213.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.081,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Pablo Varillas44c192$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.484,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Pablo Varillas23c189.22$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.714,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Juan Pablo Varillas73c185$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.053,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Alan Magadan29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4127949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Juan Pablo Varillas18c160.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.823,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Alan Magadan28c160$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.31,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Alan Magadan27c151.3$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4528237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Alan Magadan28c148$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5685748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Alan Magadan28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.341,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas38c135.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.531,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Alan Magadan26c119$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0624051.3%123 W · 117 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alan Magadan63c115.28$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.166,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Juan Pablo Varillas72c112.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Juan Pablo Varillas19c101$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Alan Magadan26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7445744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Alan Magadan64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310945.9%50 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Alan Magadan25c98.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.071,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Alan Magadan45c97.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.653,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Juan Pablo Varillas54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Alan Magadan47c91.49$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.493,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Juan Pablo Varillas73c88.06$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2894058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Alan Magadan47c87.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.233,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Alan Magadan59c80.39$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3324348.1%117 W · 126 L-25.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas67c79.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.914,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Alan Magadan64c75.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2247274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Juan Pablo Varillas34c72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4897852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Alan Magadan47c70.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.211,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fef…8bb9backed Alan Magadan31c68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.922147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Juan Pablo Varillas29c63.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.272,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Juan Pablo Varillas50c62.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3144949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Alan Magadan29c51.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.423,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas73c50.55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.98252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Juan Pablo Varillas73c44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.121,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Alan Magadan71c40.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.782159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Juan Pablo Varillas39c38.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.171,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Alan Magadan43c36.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.787060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas73c33.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5958665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Alan Magadan47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.912,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Alan Magadan47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9149943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas36c31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Juan Pablo Varillas36c31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1692352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Juan Pablo Varillas54c29.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.856,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x721c…d585backed Juan Pablo Varillas44c25.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.113157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.325,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas74c20.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8433048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Juan Pablo Varillas73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.631657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec7…93d1backed Juan Pablo Varillas73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610678.3%83 W · 23 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+15.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72db…1029backed Juan Pablo Varillas72c19.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6910859.3%64 W · 44 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Juan Pablo Varillas77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.531,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Juan Pablo Varillas73c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9519064.7%123 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…b01fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas74c14.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.