Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ajaccio: Hugo Car vs Dan Added
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dec3b382ae341121537b945397bbebd10442ef933040a4bdaaf551faaae71e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dan Addedof Hugo Car, Dan Added
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Dan Added | 69c | 5,256$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.21 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Hugo Car | 27c | 1,484$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hugo Car | 34c | 1,407$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.01 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Hugo Car | 42c | 1,050$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hugo Car | 31c | 962.74$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.45 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hugo Car | 27c | 600$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.57 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Hugo Car | 31c | 439.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dan Added | 57c | 329.41$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dan Added | 63c | 259.69$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Dan Added | 65c | 179.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Hugo Car | 36c | 178.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dan Added | 58c | 143$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hugo Car | 19c | 81.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…a04fbacked Dan Added | 57c | 72.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ad52backed Dan Added | 73c | 65.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Hugo Car | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Hugo Car | 43c | 49.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Dan Added | 75c | 46.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hugo Car | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Dan Added | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Dan Added | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Hugo Car | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 618 | 55.8%345 W · 273 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dan Added | 59c | 25.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Dan Added | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 676 | 78.7%532 W · 144 L | +49.5wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Dan Added | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Ajaccio: Hugo Car vs Dan Addedthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Car vs AddedAdded won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.