TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

ITF San Diego: Rafael De Alba vs Youssef Kadiri Hassani

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rafael De Albaof Rafael De Alba, Youssef Kadiri Hassani
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Youssef Kadiri Hassani76c3,224$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.852,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Rafael De Alba23c2,800$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15642131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Rafael De Alba80c2,009$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.344,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Rafael De Alba22c1,709$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.095,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani78c1,164$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.6213262.9%83 W · 49 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Rafael De Alba76c530$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.851,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Rafael De Alba24c511$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.361,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani23c457.17$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.41,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani76c364.29$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.861,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Youssef Kadiri Hassani76c278.95$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2127,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Rafael De Alba78c273$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.051,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Rafael De Alba22c247.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.422,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c221.81$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7958857.7%339 W · 249 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c182$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.147,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rafael De Alba15c121.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.536,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x721c…d585backed Rafael De Alba46c106.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3713157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d8…400bbacked Rafael De Alba24c95.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6334627.7%96 W · 250 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Rafael De Alba24c77.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.41,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani39c76.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3057845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Rafael De Alba32c66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.882,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rafael De Alba32c66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.881,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506462.5%40 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rafael De Alba40c58.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.838,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Rafael De Alba45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.881,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d59…b22cbacked Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c40.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8411650%58 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.921,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Rafael De Alba32c32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7673951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c29.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9894058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rafael De Alba72c26.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.316,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Rafael De Alba49c23.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1787060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.493557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Youssef Kadiri Hassani76c19.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9924349.4%120 W · 123 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6d…aeb3backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.632491.7%22 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick73cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c18.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0433048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c17.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6320566.8%137 W · 68 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.559061.1%55 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…b01fbacked Youssef Kadiri Hassani78c14.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.211258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc69…4724backed Youssef Kadiri Hassani77c13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.