MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c43b8f1b2588dd71ddbc3109747eff02061c4471b8c5a45a205eddd4311393a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 139,447$73,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,824.87 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 38,517$18,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,243.02 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 47c | 21,415$10,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,065.05 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 48c | 20,954$10,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,058.07 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 47c | 9,908$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.96 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 8,450$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.14 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 48c | 5,842$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 5,279$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.81 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 53c | 4,502$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.93 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 4,500$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 47c | 4,221$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.03 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 49c | 4,146$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.85 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 3,280$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.69 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 3,180$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.58 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 2,878$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.14 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 2,802$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 41c | 2,122$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.21 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 34c | 2,121$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.58 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 2,096$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.04 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.17 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 47c | 1,862$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.37 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…a8a1backed Over | 67c | 1,744$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Under | 45c | 1,616$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 49c | 1,276$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.24 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 1,070$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.25 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 1,014$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.72 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under | 58c | 1,000$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 52c | 998.15$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.11 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 46c | 915.45$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.92 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 33c | 861.63$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.95 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 47c | 860.1$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.25 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 47c | 839.02$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.34 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 52c | 674$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Under | 47c | 639.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 596$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.12 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 552$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 505.65$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.49 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 47c | 500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 47c | 499.9$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 48c | 323.64$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 47c | 317.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 287$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 47c | 228.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 35c | 228$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 48c | 218.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Over | 56c | 214$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 66c | 197.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 189.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Under | 47c | 165$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 66c | 146.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Over | 50c | 142.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 138.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 47c | 138.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 51c | 136.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 129.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 55c | 127.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 124.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 47c | 119.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 80c | 106$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 47c | 73.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 46c | 68.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 425 | 48.2%205 W · 220 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 53c | 66.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d4…b001backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 53cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 57.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 61c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 40.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Under | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 50c | 35.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 44c | 34.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 47c | 29.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 47c | 25.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Over | 57c | 24.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-5.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.