MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb75a73ddf94b74666787b3433650fe1d10fd0d42450c81f8accb708e032c3848

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Toronto Blue Jaysof New York Mets, Toronto Blue Jays
Resolved: Jul 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $403,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $414,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,382 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays	66c	128,697$84,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,756.98	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets	34c	83,866$28,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,514.6	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays	52c	44,444$23,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,333.12	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked New York Mets	4c	26,700$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102	109	13.8%15 W · 94 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets	48c	21,867$10,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,586.93	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets	50c	15,554$7,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,777	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Mets	51c	11,001$5,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,574.38	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets	31c	10,523$3,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,261.67	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets	10c	8,295$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.4	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf9…b6d3backed Toronto Blue Jays	52c	8,175$4,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,929.02	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets	48c	6,861$3,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,293.5	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays	50c	6,124$3,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,062	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets	49c	6,003$2,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,929.54	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets	37c	5,865$2,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,147.51	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays	50c	5,119$2,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,542.57	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Mets	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	338	52.7%178 W · 160 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed New York Mets	49c	4,981$2,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,440.52	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays	50c	4,693$2,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,346.5	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets	48c	4,275$2,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,051.77	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed New York Mets	1c	4,123$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.31	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7573…11dcbacked Toronto Blue Jays	73c	4,000$2,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets	33c	3,564$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,192.18	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Toronto Blue Jays	50c	3,389$1,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,681.52	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays	64c	3,204$2,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,157.95	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked New York Mets	23c	3,100$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.99	447	50.6%226 W · 221 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Toronto Blue Jays	50c	3,030$1,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,515	199	50.3%100 W · 99 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays	51c	2,858$1,447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,411.07	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed New York Mets	52c	2,500$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets	30c	2,307$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$693	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfd…379cbacked New York Mets	5c	2,278$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets	38c	2,207$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.48	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Toronto Blue Jays	50c	2,100$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	237	58.6%139 W · 98 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked New York Mets	1c	2,100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked New York Mets	48c	2,068$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.66	216	44.9%97 W · 119 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets	48c	2,061$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.45	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets	48c	2,048$983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.03	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed New York Mets	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	328	50.3%165 W · 163 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays	51c	1,924$981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.73	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays	52c	1,907$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$906.58	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets	29c	1,851$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.07	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays	79c	1,832$1,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.03	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed New York Mets	1c	1,765$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Toronto Blue Jays	78c	1,736$1,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.59	367	59.1%217 W · 150 L	+26.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets	48c	1,712$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.69	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	52c	1,551$806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.36	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x272b…0a6ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	52c	1,520$794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.2	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Toronto Blue Jays	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Blue Jays	56c	1,423$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.08	347	56.5%196 W · 151 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked New York Mets	49c	1,389$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.53	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed New York Mets	44c	1,336$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.88	218	41.3%90 W · 128 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Toronto Blue Jays	52c	1,328$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.1	481	47%226 W · 255 L	-31.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Mets	48c	1,300$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.47	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets	2c	1,260$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.19	370	32.7%121 W · 249 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed New York Mets	1c	1,202$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	404	3.5%14 W · 390 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Toronto Blue Jays	52c	1,154$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.85	227	53.3%121 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Blue Jays	50c	1,111$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.5	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked New York Mets	4c	1,009$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.55	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed New York Mets	49c	1,000$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.5	549	45.4%249 W · 300 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked New York Mets	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	290	46.6%135 W · 155 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	50c	994.5$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.25	360	48.6%175 W · 185 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays	63c	962.52$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.21	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed New York Mets	6c	935.24$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.57	880	53.8%473 W · 407 L	+41.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Toronto Blue Jays	54c	905.63$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.59	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays	51c	896.74$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.24	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed New York Mets	8c	832.22$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.6	123	42.3%52 W · 71 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	49c	795.92$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.92	213	54.5%116 W · 97 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed New York Mets	3c	665$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-77.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed New York Mets	48c	620.75$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	644	52.2%336 W · 308 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked New York Mets	48c	619.07$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.15	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Toronto Blue Jays	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	1,168	49%572 W · 596 L	+17.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays	51c	585.43$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.16	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Toronto Blue Jays	48c	550$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286	1,010	51.2%517 W · 493 L	+36.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets	48c	515.41$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.44	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed New York Mets	40c	500.58$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.68	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Toronto Blue Jays	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	321	57%183 W · 138 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Mets	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x59a6…6ffebacked Toronto Blue Jays	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	38cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f42…6fcbbacked Toronto Blue Jays	52c	480.77$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.77	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked New York Mets	49c	469.39$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed New York Mets	51c	443.99$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.44	223	50.7%113 W · 110 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed New York Mets	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	346	48.6%168 W · 178 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Toronto Blue Jays	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Toronto Blue Jays	53c	358.49$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.49	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed New York Mets	49c	355.1$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	211	46.4%98 W · 113 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Toronto Blue Jays	50c	344$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.2	577	58.1%335 W · 242 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Toronto Blue Jays	70c	343.31$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.29	529	55.6%294 W · 235 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Toronto Blue Jays	49c	340.14$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.47	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets	49c	328.88$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.87	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Toronto Blue Jays	49c	326$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.26	952	52.9%504 W · 448 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays	50c	324.86$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.27	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toronto Blue Jays	63c	318.18$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.18	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets	46c	317.46$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.18	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets	49c	310$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.2	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Toronto Blue Jays	64c	300$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.19	346	58.1%201 W · 145 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed New York Mets	47c	299.14$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.59	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked New York Mets	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	280	45.7%128 W · 152 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Mets	50c	290$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-5.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event