TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rafael Jodarof Rafael Jodar, Pablo Carreno Busta
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,378,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,471,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,378,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0f2…1848backed Pablo Carreno Busta61c237,094$145,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145,299.171,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Rafael Jodar41c49,263$20,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,211.064,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rafael Jodar53c34,080$18,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,894.658,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Rafael Jodar73c30,000$21,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10020444.6%91 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rafael Jodar43c26,221$11,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,989.0811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Rafael Jodar51c23,015$11,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,248.334,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Rafael Jodar71c21,184$15,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,138.0713363.9%85 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x888b…5d1abacked Rafael Jodar60c20,166$12,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,126.743354.5%18 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+44.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Pablo Carreno Busta51c17,385$8,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,817.611,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rafael Jodar69c14,876$10,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,557.668,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Rafael Jodar55c14,740$8,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,627.473,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Pablo Carreno Busta47c14,408$6,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,780.6576146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Pablo Carreno Busta30c13,045$3,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,931.824841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3b0…23a1backed Rafael Jodar78c12,821$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.513164.5%20 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Rafael Jodar43c12,193$5,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,950.0534857.2%199 W · 149 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Rafael Jodar38c10,906$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,761.591,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rafael Jodar41c10,535$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,219.642,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20058232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Pablo Carreno Busta59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.9437540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Pablo Carreno Busta23c8,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84039243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Pablo Carreno Busta40c7,501$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00033037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Rafael Jodar52c7,403$3,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,536.724,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9de…c026backed Rafael Jodar41c6,992$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Rafael Jodar47c6,272$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.5845036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Pablo Carreno Busta19c5,924$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.4856651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Pablo Carreno Busta42c5,750$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.3833540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…698dbacked Rafael Jodar73c5,474$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.064346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x013e…65ddbacked Pablo Carreno Busta44c5,459$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.011250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024d…b912backed Rafael Jodar44c5,271$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.595151%26 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Rafael Jodar55c5,239$2,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.734,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Rafael Jodar46c5,169$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.133,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rafael Jodar57c5,155$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.838,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Pablo Carreno Busta19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Rafael Jodar40c4,927$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.0380341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Pablo Carreno Busta20c4,858$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.274,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Rafael Jodar41c4,845$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.3953043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…910dbacked Rafael Jodar38c4,797$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.499740.2%39 W · 58 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Rafael Jodar64c4,590$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.453655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fac…5832backed Pablo Carreno Busta37c4,433$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6601136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Pablo Carreno Busta61c4,150$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,53715541.9%65 W · 90 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Rafael Jodar40c3,998$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.9212748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Pablo Carreno Busta68c3,946$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.414436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Rafael Jodar70c3,759$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.1794068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Pablo Carreno Busta42c3,567$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.074936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfb…84a6backed Pablo Carreno Busta37c3,519$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.712814.1%18 W · 110 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Pablo Carreno Busta28c3,500$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9931736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Pablo Carreno Busta25c3,206$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Rafael Jodar64c3,153$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.551,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta13c3,137$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8180%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Pablo Carreno Busta25c3,121$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7915213.5%7 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-65.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Pablo Carreno Busta19c3,105$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.922662.8%142 W · 84 L+15.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ff…b983backed Rafael Jodar40c3,074$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rafael Jodar40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80016825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Pablo Carreno Busta34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Rafael Jodar74c2,904$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.496,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Rafael Jodar80c2,899$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.5921567.4%145 W · 70 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Pablo Carreno Busta39c2,835$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.8842131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Pablo Carreno Busta38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00047639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe14a…9917backed Rafael Jodar41c2,475$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.3757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d8…0c91backed Rafael Jodar62c2,446$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.644348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Pablo Carreno Busta58c2,343$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.6641251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Pablo Carreno Busta66c2,273$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50024961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta52c2,091$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.4229443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Pablo Carreno Busta24c2,057$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.774560%27 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Rafael Jodar40c2,032$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.4992237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Pablo Carreno Busta33c2,009$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66828147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Pablo Carreno Busta39c2,003$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.032,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Pablo Carreno Busta20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40037738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Rafael Jodar39c2,000$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22513237.9%50 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Pablo Carreno Busta32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64029654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Rafael Jodar40c2,000$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.032,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Pablo Carreno Busta50c1,971$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.191,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Rafael Jodar60c1,922$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.7552152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Pablo Carreno Busta19c1,842$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.982,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Pablo Carreno Busta62c1,806$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12013048.5%63 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Rafael Jodar41c1,804$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.166,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf192…ed44backed Rafael Jodar43c1,804$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e4…7e20backed Rafael Jodar78c1,789$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.6918747.6%89 W · 98 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x749e…1090backed Pablo Carreno Busta43c1,650$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.59935.4%35 W · 64 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Rafael Jodar78c1,637$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.783,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x484c…ccb6backed Rafael Jodar42c1,600$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc768…d748backed Rafael Jodar42c1,600$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rafael Jodar62c1,536$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.62,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Rafael Jodar76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36074743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Rafael Jodar69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2862545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Rafael Jodar43c1,444$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.7610642.5%45 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Rafael Jodar74c1,431$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.9361152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a5…41f1backed Pablo Carreno Busta28c1,401$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.311145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5a…b2a4backed Rafael Jodar37c1,385$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Rafael Jodar60c1,375$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.944,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Pablo Carreno Busta10c1,360$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Pablo Carreno Busta44c1,320$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.843647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a1…504cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta49c1,316$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.754240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Rafael Jodar55c1,309$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.4612843%55 W · 73 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Rafael Jodar47c1,306$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.0929940.1%120 W · 179 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x219e…6d26backed Rafael Jodar43c1,306$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Rafael Jodar40c1,300$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.9923152.4%121 W · 110 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Pablo Carreno Busta40c1,300$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.1460943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Rafael Jodar75c1,285$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.2532050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.