MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e47e9ab777735fd1dae04df35e34536c38cbd4a01f173eb1acee0ce88b80c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 173,856$100,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,836.37 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,000 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Houston Astros | 57c | 50,976$29,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,056.49 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 56c | 44,086$24,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,688.22 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 33,003$13,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,059.37 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 25,170$14,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,513.39 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 14,892$6,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,496.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 13,852$6,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,366.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 57c | 13,644$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 13,128$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,367.01 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 11,780$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,794.69 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Houston Astros | 59c | 10,035$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,920.43 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Houston Astros | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 9,522$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,617.95 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Houston Astros | 39c | 8,882$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Houston Astros | 27c | 8,025$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.45 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 7,544$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.08 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 7,503$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.22 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Houston Astros | 54c | 7,293$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,937.95 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…9cb7backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 7,140$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 7,118$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.03 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 6,258$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 6,117$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 5,666$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.62 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 5,491$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 4,998$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.08 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 4,315$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.7 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 4,120$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 3,255$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.45 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 39c | 2,704$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,500$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,485$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.49 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 2,430$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,329$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.28 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Houston Astros | 10c | 2,326$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,116$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.96 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,048$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.36 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,841$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.21 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 1,750$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,359$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.55 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Houston Astros | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,153$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.97 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Houston Astros | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 4c | 1,011$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Houston Astros | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 856.62$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.36 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 55c | 833.23$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.28 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros | 33c | 706.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.97 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…339fbacked Houston Astros | 22c | 704.06$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Houston Astros | 18c | 684.47$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Houston Astros | 59c | 676.27$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 656.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.04 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 643.58$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.92 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 638$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.28 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 634.5$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.01 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 633.95$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.98 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Houston Astros | 20c | 610$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 605$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 568$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.76 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 528.21$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 511.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Houston Astros | 9c | 509.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 508.76$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Minnesota Twins | 79c | 489.31$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Houston Astros | 17c | 487.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Astros | 17c | 450.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Minnesota Twins | 80c | 449$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 434.76$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 420$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…f6dabacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 416.67$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Houston Astros | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 374.87$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 316$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 313.83$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros | 57c | 307.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.36 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 300.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 20c | 272.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Houston Astros | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 267.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Minnesota Twins | 65c | 261.2$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 257.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 253.88$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 13.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.