TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3177…0ea7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT5858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$13.34
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$10.91
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.71
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$17.66
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.64
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$10.57
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$6.9
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.03
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$10.79
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+149%+$17
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+167.3%+$21.5
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$7.84
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$16.56
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+179.9%+$18.13
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Maya Jointbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$15.05
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Wimbledon WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Alina Korneevabacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$11.59
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$10.33
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tausonbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.07
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$5.64
Bad Homburg Open: Emma Navarro vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$8.99
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)backed Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.99
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$8.5
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Zsombor Piros vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.96
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$11.75
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Johannus Monday vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.04
Mallorca Championships: Yannick Hanfmann vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$3.49
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Ella Seidelbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$4.67
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.16
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.01
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$16.22
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.24
San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$18.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$7.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$5.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$8.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.