MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64428ea4acb80ab69b900eaf579f6cf35502b540d674d2dde53011da0d617769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 55,704$22,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,865.14 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 55,366$32,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,666.04 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 50,492$18,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,575.99 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 32,700$19,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,106.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 31,183$18,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,083.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 18,279$7,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,967.7 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 12,962$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 12,420$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,452 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 10,910$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,436.65 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 9,964$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.59 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 7,975$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 3,900$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.85 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 3,610$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.87 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 3,581$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.9 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 3,250$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 3,148$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.65 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 3,124$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.14 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 3,012$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.57 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 2,739$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.19 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 2,733$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.28 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 2,570$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.58 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 2,497$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 2,412$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.68 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,408$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 2,072$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.64 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…051bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 1,909$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 1,908$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 1,686$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 1,410$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 1,284$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.91 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,266$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.52 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 1,252$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.55 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 18c | 1,250$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,090$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.1 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 1,055$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.75 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 1,009$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.06 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 929.96$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.98 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…5054backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 928.59$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 859.51$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.3 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 850$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 826.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 813.67$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 780$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.39 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 722.26$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.47 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 700.51$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.89 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 699.97$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.98 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 689.76$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.62 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…aea1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 674.66$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.27 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 654.36$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.85 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 613$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.7 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 588.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.51 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 551.19$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.98 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 545$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.7 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Chicago Cubs | 76c | 524.65$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 439.39$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.24 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 438.57$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 435.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.56 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 380$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 373.87$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 365$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 364$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.31 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 359.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.87 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 320$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 312$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 310.32$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 300$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 299.96$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 274.43$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 273.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 273.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 270$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 259.82$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 259$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 252.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.