Tennis · resolved market
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Ella Seidel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19742d9c6d2e13e4230c8fc640d5852e7fbbc8e983293c27c2b240f07a30ebdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solana Sierraof Solana Sierra, Ella Seidel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Ella Seidel | 25c | 20,691$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.75 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Solana Sierra | 72c | 4,978$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.87 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Solana Sierra | 71c | 4,808$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.78 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Solana Sierra | 61c | 4,440$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Solana Sierra | 78c | 3,735$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.02 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Solana Sierra | 70c | 3,238$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.36 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Solana Sierra | 64c | 1,343$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.63 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Solana Sierra | 72c | 1,134$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.59 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Solana Sierra | 79c | 888.04$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Ella Seidel | 47c | 785.55$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.54 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Ella Seidel | 25c | 661.75$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Solana Sierra | 75c | 442.75$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…663bbacked Solana Sierra | 73c | 400$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Solana Sierra | 62c | 396.69$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Ella Seidel | 15c | 376.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Ella Seidel | 32c | 366.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ella Seidel | 42c | 358.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Ella Seidel | 29c | 346.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ella Seidel | 36c | 284.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Solana Sierra | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ella Seidel | 39c | 251.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Solana Sierra | 74c | 232.51$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Solana Sierra | 79c | 228.92$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Solana Sierra | 76c | 215.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Solana Sierra | 60c | 212.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Solana Sierra | 59c | 212$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Solana Sierra | 79c | 206.43$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Ella Seidel | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Solana Sierra | 79c | 197.52$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ella Seidel | 41c | 183.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ella Seidel | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Ella Seidel | 37c | 154.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Ella Seidel | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Ella Seidel | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Ella Seidel | 42c | 129.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Ella Seidel | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Ella Seidel | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Solana Sierra | 66c | 115.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Solana Sierra | 72c | 110.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Ella Seidel | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Solana Sierra | 79c | 102.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2750…3134backed Solana Sierra | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Ella Seidel | 41c | 101.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Solana Sierra | 79c | 98.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ella Seidel | 25c | 94.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Ella Seidel | 40c | 92.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Solana Sierra | 58c | 86.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Solana Sierra | 65c | 82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed Solana Sierra | 57c | 81.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Solana Sierra | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Solana Sierra | 79c | 66.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…efd3backed Ella Seidel | 20c | 66.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…a24abacked Solana Sierra | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Ella Seidel | 36c | 56.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Solana Sierra | 79c | 55.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Solana Sierra | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Solana Sierra | 79c | 48.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Solana Sierra | 69c | 47.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Ella Seidel | 31c | 47.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Ella Seidel | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Solana Sierra | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Solana Sierra | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…18a2backed Solana Sierra | 75c | 40.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Solana Sierra | 79c | 35.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Solana Sierra | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Solana Sierra | 79c | 34.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Ella Seidel | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Solana Sierra | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Solana Sierra | 78c | 33.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Solana Sierra | 79c | 30.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Solana Sierra | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Solana Sierra | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8318…34a6backed Ella Seidel | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 100 | 32%32 W · 68 L | -30.3wins | -0.30per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Solana Sierra | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Solana Sierra | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Solana Sierra | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…e4c1backed Solana Sierra | 64c | 24.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Solana Sierra | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Solana Sierra | 79c | 20.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Solana Sierra | 79c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Solana Sierra | 60c | 20.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Solana Sierra | 79c | 19.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…d224backed Solana Sierra | 76c | 17.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…0ea7backed Solana Sierra | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Solana Sierra | 79c | 16.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Solana Sierra | 79c | 16.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Solana Sierra | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Ella Seidelthis page
- Set Handicap: Sierra (-1.5) vs Seidel (+1.5)Sierra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.