MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa89e520be772123fc253f6c175f1f5b65d3b82fbca6edc78dab1179c32ae18dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 54c | 23,930$13,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,041.32 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 42c | 7,344$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 6,867$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.83 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Over | 58c | 6,710$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.74 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 57c | 6,704$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.68 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 44c | 6,065$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.61 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 47c | 5,959$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.27 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47da…b99fbacked Over | 55c | 4,523$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 4,489$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 3,116$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.96 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 59c | 2,525$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.8 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,397$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 33c | 2,024$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.92 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 45c | 1,703$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.71 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 67c | 1,311$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.19 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 1,273$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.33 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.83 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 976$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 45c | 615.2$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.36 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 45c | 476$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 44c | 419.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.58 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.76 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 375.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.63 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 309.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 45c | 295.19$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 56c | 244.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Under | 59c | 165.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Under | 50c | 133.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 61c | 119.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 43c | 82.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Over | 57c | 66.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -11.1wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 56c | 65.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e08…d327backed Over | 40c | 61.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 67c | 61.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 44c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa214…0653backed Under | 45c | 60.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…f43fbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed Under | 45c | 53.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…ed19backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8137…0cabbacked Over | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 47.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Under | 43c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…7d20backed Over | 60c | 44.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 31c | 43.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 56c | 43.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 47c | 40.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 31c | 40.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 44c | 36.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Over | 56c | 35.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 35.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 43c | 34.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…b64bbacked Under | 44c | 34.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 56c | 33.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 55c | 32.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Over | 44c | 30.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 55c | 29.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 45c | 28.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 56c | 27.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 51c | 26.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Over | 49c | 22.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…0ea7backed Over | 56c | 22.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 56c | 21.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 53c | 20.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 49c | 20.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 56c | 18.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.