MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc5ac79e75113d325de33982adb585b9c1a19575186d2570a09f6070cb1f0a72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Cincinnati Reds, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,030,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,093,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,030,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 204,553$114,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,003.3 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 163,288$74,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,610.81 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 109,907$50,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,835.72 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 54,184$36,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,316.12 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 45,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.94 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…e4e0backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 35,465$15,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,604.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 31,014$12,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,895.86 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 25,207$13,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,905.74 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 19,808$8,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,715.52 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.14 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 17,712$9,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,007.26 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 17,045$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 17,044$7,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,669.66 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 14,184$6,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.12 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 13,644$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.86 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 12,736$7,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.46 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 11,680$6,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.69 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 11,615$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.44 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 11,216$4,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,822.77 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 10,516$6,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,354.95 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…583bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 8,984$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.89 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 7,957$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.78 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 7,758$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.74 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 79c | 7,083$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.66 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 6,703$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.6 | 405 | 43.5%176 W · 229 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 6,674$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.08 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 6,076$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.75 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 5,469$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.24 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…24e8backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 4,571$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 4,261$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.61 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 4,011$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.16 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 3,969$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341.15 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 3,737$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.79 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 3,708$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.65 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 3,707$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.76 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 3,159$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.78 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,841$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.88 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 2,426$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.2 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 2,275$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.91 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 2,000$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.39 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,696$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.21 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,570$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.56 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,532$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.17 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,519$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.92 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,228$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.22 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,219$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.64 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,200$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.43 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,196$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.81 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 1,171$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.72 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,064$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,024$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.68 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 943.55$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.71 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 934.16$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.33 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 889.42$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.24 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 882.16$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.03 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 876.36$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.03 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 833.01$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.72 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 769.99$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.9 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 699.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 668.7$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.94 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 627.07$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.9 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 585.07$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.98 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 561$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 550$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 541.66$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 537$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 530.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 515$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 495$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 475.83$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.31 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 469.88$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.34 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 451.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 432.37$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.92 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 425.23$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.85 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…bbd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 423.7$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.62 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 405.77$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.77 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 402.65$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 402.5$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 400$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 400$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 385.41$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.