Tennis · resolved market
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79346c74dcea25759feb1360aa1d2477beaefd81bf2401dc1679ab7ddfc1c103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Muchovaof Karolina Muchova, Clara Tauson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $825,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $967,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $825,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Karolina Muchova | 58c | 95,071$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,070.61 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karolina Muchova | 48c | 38,542$18,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,856.23 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Karolina Muchova | 42c | 23,952$10,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,892.78 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Clara Tauson | 43c | 23,585$10,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,172.06 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Clara Tauson | 35c | 20,976$7,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,250 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Clara Tauson | 1c | 20,249$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Clara Tauson | 42c | 19,164$8,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,107.36 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Clara Tauson | 42c | 19,052$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…45eebacked Karolina Muchova | 60c | 16,679$9,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,713.41 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…6993backed Clara Tauson | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Clara Tauson | 62c | 12,570$7,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,775.51 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Clara Tauson | 36c | 12,555$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.66 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Clara Tauson | 41c | 12,500$5,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120.73 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Karolina Muchova | 68c | 10,147$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.06 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Clara Tauson | 33c | 9,153$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.41 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clara Tauson | 34c | 7,314$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clara Tauson | 41c | 6,840$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Clara Tauson | 38c | 6,386$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.95 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Clara Tauson | 41c | 5,655$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.61 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Karolina Muchova | 76c | 5,263$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.16 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Clara Tauson | 57c | 5,238$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.52 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Karolina Muchova | 65c | 4,540$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.72 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Karolina Muchova | 66c | 4,500$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…17e1backed Karolina Muchova | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Clara Tauson | 10c | 3,351$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.99 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Karolina Muchova | 70c | 3,287$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.86 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Clara Tauson | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.6 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…b05ebacked Clara Tauson | 37c | 2,700$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Clara Tauson | 26c | 2,514$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Karolina Muchova | 44c | 2,362$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.87 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Clara Tauson | 35c | 2,353$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.73 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Clara Tauson | 30c | 2,333$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.64 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Clara Tauson | 48c | 2,287$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Clara Tauson | 54c | 2,145$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.3 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Clara Tauson | 33c | 2,092$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…5054backed Karolina Muchova | 53c | 2,035$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.6 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Clara Tauson | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Karolina Muchova | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Karolina Muchova | 48c | 1,953$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.69 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Karolina Muchova | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.74 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Karolina Muchova | 42c | 1,879$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.79 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Karolina Muchova | 66c | 1,859$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.69 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Clara Tauson | 23c | 1,835$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.05 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Clara Tauson | 13c | 1,798$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Karolina Muchova | 46c | 1,533$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.75 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Clara Tauson | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Karolina Muchova | 71c | 1,492$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.85 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Clara Tauson | 65c | 1,457$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.35 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Karolina Muchova | 55c | 1,451$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.22 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Karolina Muchova | 46c | 1,306$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.71 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Clara Tauson | 52c | 1,288$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.76 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Clara Tauson | 34c | 1,283$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.81 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Clara Tauson | 2c | 1,259$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Karolina Muchova | 46c | 1,245$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.95 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Clara Tauson | 48c | 1,221$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.02 | 248 | 52%129 W · 119 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Clara Tauson | 10c | 1,217$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Karolina Muchova | 66c | 1,155$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.39 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Clara Tauson | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Karolina Muchova | 70c | 1,134$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.37 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Karolina Muchova | 67c | 1,127$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Clara Tauson | 51c | 1,113$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.6 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Karolina Muchova | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 167 | 26.3%44 W · 123 L | -18.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Karolina Muchova | 49c | 1,085$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.74 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Clara Tauson | 54c | 999.6$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.56 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Clara Tauson | 29c | 980.56$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.41 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Clara Tauson | 8c | 939.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…e77cbacked Clara Tauson | 12c | 927.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Clara Tauson | 69c | 840.97$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.71 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Clara Tauson | 36c | 833.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karolina Muchova | 62c | 797.3$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.61 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Clara Tauson | 34c | 787.47$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.74 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Karolina Muchova | 63c | 774.14$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Karolina Muchova | 56c | 773.14$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Karolina Muchova | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…e230backed Clara Tauson | 33c | 753.76$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Clara Tauson | 51c | 747.24$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.2 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Clara Tauson | 16c | 740.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Karolina Muchova | 66c | 727.47$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Karolina Muchova | 28c | 720$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.4 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…eb10backed Clara Tauson | 71c | 700.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Karolina Muchova | 66c | 684.1$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.59 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Clara Tauson | 49c | 679.59$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Clara Tauson | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe8…7cd0backed Clara Tauson | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Karolina Muchova | 42c | 619.89$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.25 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Clara Tauson | 35c | 612.31$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.31 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Clara Tauson | 32c | 606.76$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Clara Tauson | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Karolina Muchova | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Clara Tauson | 18c | 584.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Clara Tauson | 5c | 583.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 311 | 64.3%200 W · 111 L | +36.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Karolina Muchova | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Clara Tauson | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Karolina Muchova | 50c | 536.43$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Clara Tauson | 34c | 534.39$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Karolina Muchova | 66c | 530$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Karolina Muchova | 71c | 529.58$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.58 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…d89abacked Clara Tauson | 38c | 527.09$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Clara Tauson | 60c | 520$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Karolina Muchova | 55c | 509.88$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tausonthis page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Clara Tauson: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Tauson: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Muchova vs. Tauson: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs TausonTauson won
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs TausonMuchova won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Tauson (+1.5)Tauson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.