MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x544254174f990d90d385b3528ed810da1f5433f3461c9b99963f8ae5f29ddea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Cleveland Guardians, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $591,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $605,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 125,129$65,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,065.59 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 81,990$37,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,539.21 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,600 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 78,094$44,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,793.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 42,105$22,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,369.82 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 24,521$12,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750.92 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.34 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 18,951$10,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,233.87 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 16,202$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,425.08 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 13,984$6,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,780.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 9,236$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 9,122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 8,387$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 5,770$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.33 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 5,263$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.05 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 5,113$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.55 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 4,500$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 4,363$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.79 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 4,211$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.84 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 3,989$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 3,714$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 3,635$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.69 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 3,571$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 3,440$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.21 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 3,158$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.63 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 3,092$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.09 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 2,965$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.45 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 2,343$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.82 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 2,066$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.99 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,002$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,952$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.04 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,722$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.49 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…a848backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,648$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,206$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.3 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,133$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.76 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,108$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,091$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.24 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,059$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.32 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 1,045$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,035$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.2 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 986.79$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 939.17$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.27 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 913.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.47 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 897.41$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.21 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 845.86$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.39 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 840$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 827.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 714.22$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.01 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 692.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 688.61$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.45 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 666$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.32 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 636.09$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 626.27$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 68c | 619.18$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.66 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 609.98$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.29 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 607.7$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 604.23$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.02 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 587.83$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 576.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 567.31$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 415.54$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 13c | 410$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Chicago White Sox | 67c | 378.21$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 340$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 326.73$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 320.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Cleveland Guardians | 9c | 303.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 302.41$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 286$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 284.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 268.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 262.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 259.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 238.94$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 224$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 214.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 210.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 207.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 202.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 200.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 199$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.