MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31e4c075fde47324ba8da91640cec6a1bf81bfa2d8589d518f5e2205d7985a84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 61,434$31,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,557.3 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 48c | 23,510$11,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,286.3 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 14,261$6,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,845.28 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 63c | 13,020$8,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,867.73 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 30c | 10,577$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 10,487$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050.1 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 6,705$4,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 50c | 6,232$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.11 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 34c | 5,372$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.73 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 4,062$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.62 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 3,096$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 3,079$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,731$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Under | 1c | 1,576$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Under | 49c | 1,500$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.85 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 48c | 1,485$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.92 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed Under | 10c | 1,400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 52c | 1,137$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.24 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 975$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 956.25$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 53c | 942.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.09 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 48c | 800$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Under | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 529.02$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.93 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 399$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 42c | 354.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 14c | 342$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 15c | 215$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 204.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 203.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 176.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 171.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 149.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 52c | 145.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…5019backed Over | 33c | 140.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 49c | 139.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 133.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 53c | 125.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -11.1wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Under | 48c | 82.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 33c | 70.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 57c | 66.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 48c | 40.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 73c | 40.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Under | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 44c | 35.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 34.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 53c | 34.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…21dcbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 52c | 28.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Over | 59c | 25.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 55 | 81.8%45 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 56c | 25.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…b5b6backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…c2d4backed Under | 47c | 24.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…0ea7backed Over | 53c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 53c | 19.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Under | 54c | 18.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 58c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e69…54b0backed Under | 77c | 16.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland GuardiansTexas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.