TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$493,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$494,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,969 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over47c257,133$120,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136,280.431,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under53c211,320$112,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,999.5546949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under53c130,000$68,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,899.9943647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under55c100,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,999.9655053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c52,550$24,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,154.311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over45c45,909$20,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,249.7511849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Over45c23,255$10,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,790.051850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c22,575$10,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,822.144,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over47c20,777$9,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,945.5532251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9936246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c17,749$8,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,406.924,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over45c13,528$6,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,440.2971650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.9921748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.3277647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c3,762$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.6110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over55c3,689$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.7733554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c3,110$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.196,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under56c2,452$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.652,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6649158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over46c2,048$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.922,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0605,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Over47c1,353$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.931,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over45c1,155$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.923,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c7…2699backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over46c1,054$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.228350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over45c999.91$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.9523758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c921.28$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.3112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over47c805.85$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.156851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41682636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Over45c777$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.3522350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over47c707.24$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.951,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over47c705.06$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.6889153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under13c550$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.510747.7%51 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.997339.7%29 W · 44 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over76c479.91$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.588,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over45c407.69$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2340341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over45c403.93$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.322,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over65c368.85$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.812549.6%62 W · 63 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c355$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.938,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over47c328.53$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1228154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under53c291$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.662,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over48c285.25$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.333748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over47c259.23$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3917253.5%92 W · 80 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.81,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c228.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.834,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over44c227.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.581,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over46c215.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0851545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…48b9backed Over47c209.09$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.592343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Under54c203.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over44c199$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.443,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over45c194.56$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.011,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under52c180$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.42,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over47c178.74$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.731,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Over47c170.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2124149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Under53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807234.7%25 W · 47 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over47c146.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5861450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c142$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.262,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under10c141.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7454715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over45c136.25$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0426438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Under36c133$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8834443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under56c130.95$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.331,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Over47c127.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5210249%50 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Under56c126.12$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6317250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under53c112.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9352852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under46c112.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2252228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over47c102.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2421350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5584651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f42…adbebacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1565…1eb7backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Under31c87.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.241236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over48c81.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2510546.7%49 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.171,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.473849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under55c75.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.992,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Under51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2514751.7%76 W · 71 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Under56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407050%35 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.177050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c66.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.131,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under55c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.751,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under33c60.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3574657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over71c56.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Over47c54.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6914544.8%65 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over45c50.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2834451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…fd82backed Over45c48.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.897047.1%33 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525256.7%143 W · 109 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62b1…fe7cbacked Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Over45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.28050%40 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over42c43.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2567444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under54c42.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2323455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1024…9651backed Under48c42.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033556.1%188 W · 147 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13c…98a7backed Under54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.553930.8%12 W · 27 L-11.1wins-0.28per pick59cpaid-47.8%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe521…880ebacked Over45c38.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.335867.2%39 W · 19 L+10.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Under54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9823435%82 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.