MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94fc825eee8ed2a26395002ba75637bad72042d43b8fa2ee6aa8447b4f8d82da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 47c | 257,133$120,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,280.43 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 53c | 211,320$112,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,999.55 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 53c | 130,000$68,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,899.99 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,999.96 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 52,550$24,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,154.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 45c | 45,909$20,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,249.75 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Over | 45c | 23,255$10,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,790.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 22,575$10,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,822.14 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 47c | 20,777$9,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,945.55 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.99 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 17,749$8,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,406.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 45c | 13,528$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,440.29 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.99 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 3,762$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 55c | 3,689$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.77 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 3,110$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 56c | 2,452$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.65 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 2,048$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.92 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 47c | 1,353$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.93 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 1,155$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.92 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c7…2699backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 46c | 1,054$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.2 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 45c | 999.91$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.95 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 921.28$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 47c | 805.85$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.1 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 45c | 777$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.35 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 707.24$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.95 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 47c | 705.06$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.68 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 13c | 550$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 479.91$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 45c | 407.69$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.23 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 45c | 403.93$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.32 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 65c | 368.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 355$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 47c | 328.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 53c | 291$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 48c | 285.25$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over | 47c | 259.23$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 228.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.83 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 44c | 227.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 46c | 215.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Over | 47c | 209.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Under | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 44c | 199$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 194.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 180$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 47c | 178.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 47c | 146.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 142$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 10c | 141.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 136.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 36c | 133$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 56c | 130.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Over | 47c | 127.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 56c | 126.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 53c | 112.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 46c | 112.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 47c | 102.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…adbebacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1565…1eb7backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 31c | 87.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 75.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 66.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 33c | 60.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 71c | 56.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 47c | 54.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 45c | 50.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Over | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…fe7cbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 42c | 43.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Under | 48c | 42.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 56.1%188 W · 147 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -11.1wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Over | 45c | 38.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +10.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 14.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 15.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 17.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 18.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 19.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.