Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8388091da9bcfd05c33f5441fb8881054da55ffddf5d31f2009b805f4dc88ca1

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Liquidof Karmine Corp, Team Liquid
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,166 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp	29c	15,283$4,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,384.92	1,485	50.1%744 W · 741 L	+67.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Liquid	72c	7,037$5,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,970.33	537	50.5%271 W · 266 L	+14.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Liquid	69c	4,200$2,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,301.99	903	48.4%437 W · 466 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Karmine Corp	30c	3,830$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.34	1,207	43.5%525 W · 682 L	-14.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed Team Liquid	72c	3,470$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$969.97	53	66%35 W · 18 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Liquid	70c	3,205$2,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$961.64	1,827	45.6%834 W · 993 L	+26.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Karmine Corp	28c	3,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Karmine Corp	29c	2,972$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.84	294	43.2%127 W · 167 L	-13.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Team Liquid	71c	2,232$1,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.35	239	48.1%115 W · 124 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Team Liquid	70c	1,878$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.36	148	48.6%72 W · 76 L	-13.8wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Team Liquid	70c	1,500$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Liquid	70c	1,080$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324	218	44%96 W · 122 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c23…418bbacked Team Liquid	72c	722.22$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.22	50	58%29 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Team Liquid	71c	702.62$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.76	104	49%51 W · 53 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Team Liquid	72c	694.44$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.44	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Team Liquid	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	160	45.6%73 W · 87 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Team Liquid	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	301	51.5%155 W · 146 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Karmine Corp	30c	494.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	760	47%357 W · 403 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Karmine Corp	29c	490$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.1	115	38.3%44 W · 71 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Karmine Corp	31c	483.87$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	282	50%141 W · 141 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid	71c	463.27$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.35	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Karmine Corp	27c	433.53$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.05	416	44.2%184 W · 232 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Karmine Corp	37c	406.73$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	423	48.2%204 W · 219 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f77…0b4abacked Karmine Corp	31c	399.39$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.81	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Karmine Corp	30c	396.08$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.63	239	46%110 W · 129 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91aa…c94abacked Karmine Corp	29c	322.1$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06ca…1d4bbacked Karmine Corp	31c	309.84$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.05	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Karmine Corp	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	890	50.6%450 W · 440 L	+14.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Karmine Corp	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	164	39.6%65 W · 99 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid	65c	295$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.05	1,047	50.3%527 W · 520 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb202…04adbacked Team Liquid	70c	286$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.8	25	64%16 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe450…a40abacked Team Liquid	73c	277.36$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.36	122	63.1%77 W · 45 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Team Liquid	74c	265$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.9	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Karmine Corp	35c	250$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.5	1,242	42.6%529 W · 713 L	-18.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Karmine Corp	29c	249.1$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.24	173	66.5%115 W · 58 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed Team Liquid	72c	239.91$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.48	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Team Liquid	71c	211.99$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.48	123	47.2%58 W · 65 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Team Liquid	72c	208$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.24	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Karmine Corp	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,294	26.6%344 W · 950 L	+65.3wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid	64c	200$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Karmine Corp	29c	183.64$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.39	245	35.9%88 W · 157 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc430…1d90backed Karmine Corp	28c	178.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.04	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Karmine Corp	31c	161.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	569	49.4%281 W · 288 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc182…1339backed Karmine Corp	29c	158.62$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	152	43.4%66 W · 86 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Karmine Corp	29c	144$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.52	497	56.3%280 W · 217 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5b…62c7backed Team Liquid	71c	140.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.87	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e9…5afbbacked Team Liquid	70c	132.86$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.86	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+3.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+117.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed Karmine Corp	30c	131.33$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	97	36.1%35 W · 62 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Karmine Corp	27c	130$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	258	51.9%134 W · 124 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Team Liquid	73c	125.98$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.03	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Karmine Corp	29c	120.69$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	557	44%245 W · 312 L	-17.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed Team Liquid	70c	114.29$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.29	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid	62c	111.03$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.75	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Karmine Corp	28c	108.4$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	364	60.2%219 W · 145 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Liquid	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	216	52.3%113 W · 103 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Karmine Corp	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	760	28.9%220 W · 540 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Liquid	70c	92$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	348	49.1%171 W · 177 L	+11.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed Karmine Corp	31c	89.9$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.87	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb0…1369backed Karmine Corp	30c	83.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-3.0wins	-0.42per pick	57cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Karmine Corp	31c	80.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed Karmine Corp	31c	80$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed35…bd18backed Team Liquid	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+60%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Team Liquid	71c	70$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.97	163	46%75 W · 88 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb282…cde9backed Karmine Corp	29c	67.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+31%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Karmine Corp	30c	60.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	644	35.4%228 W · 416 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Team Liquid	70c	60$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa05…fed7backed Karmine Corp	31c	51.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	103	63.1%65 W · 38 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Karmine Corp	31c	50.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Karmine Corp	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Karmine Corp	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbc…1fb5backed Karmine Corp	28c	46.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d9…77acbacked Karmine Corp	29c	37.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Team Liquid	70c	35.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	181	65.7%119 W · 62 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Karmine Corp	31c	35.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	317	50.8%161 W · 156 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3177…0ea7backed Team Liquid	70c	34$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ab…faadbacked Team Liquid	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Liquid	63c	27.03$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	602	43.4%261 W · 341 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb9a…a2c2backed Team Liquid	70c	21.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.43	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	744	62.2%463 W · 281 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Team Liquid	72c	19.92$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.58	395	55.2%218 W · 177 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Team Liquid	71c	14.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.35	232	64.2%149 W · 83 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)this page
First Blood in Game 1?Team Liquid won
First Blood in Game 2?Team Liquid won
First Blood in Game 3?Karmine Corp won
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Team Liquid won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InTeam Liquid won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event