Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccc7be21d9344e75150d892116967b30af283734b769266f9d8dceb974e91c2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 60c | 10,572$6,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.3 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Over | 39c | 3,206$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.93 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Over | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 39c | 1,247$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.28 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Over | 48c | 813.04$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.67 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Over | 39c | 773.22$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.56 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 47c | 644.1$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.73 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Over | 39c | 625$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 47c | 564$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 39c | 488.68$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.59 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 53c | 395.56$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 39c | 339.08$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 55c | 324.53$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 39c | 314.36$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 54c | 263.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 60c | 259.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 61c | 239.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 232.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 53c | 167.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Over | 39c | 156.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Over | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Over | 39c | 123.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 39c | 115.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Over | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91f…7d1dbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…77e3backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed Over | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…6791backed Over | 39c | 74.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 41c | 66.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Under | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 39c | 58.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked Over | 41c | 45.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 53c | 40.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 53c | 40.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…06a4backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ff…f5d1backed Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 55c | 32.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…d1f3backed Over | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae41…8311backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Liquid won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Liquid won
- First Blood in Game 3?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.