MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c16576775aaa463cd9da6db82d35459287a092319724d626f2094169babc804
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Atlanta Braves, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 46,026$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,025.71 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 21,676$8,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,943.43 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 12,978$5,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,323.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 11,547$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 10,223$6,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.62 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 6,066$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 5,051$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 2,534$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.1 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 2,143$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.39 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 1,701$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 1,433$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.21 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 911.47$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 606.65$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 397.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 378$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 301.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 282.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked Atlanta Braves | 9c | 224.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 219$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 210$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 161.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 118.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 112$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 112$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 98.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 81.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 75.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 63.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…8d9cbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 63.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 61.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 60.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 52.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 52.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 50.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 43.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 36.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…5b1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 34.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 33.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 31.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 29.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 23.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba9…1303backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 16.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta BravesSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.