MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7284cb378a1f8662780d12a08e14f32b808dc99becd972f91a9f54c59969049a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 33,000$17,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,179.97 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 23,087$10,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,620 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 16,907$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 13,636$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,136.36 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 12,945$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.48 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 12,500$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.99 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 11,007$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,953.15 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 9,124$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 6,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 5,979$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.21 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 5,665$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.91 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 5,582$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 4,405$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.74 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 3,682$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.43 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,305$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.04 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 3,207$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.04 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…ba51backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 3,117$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…e770backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,532$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.46 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 2,355$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.64 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,186$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.09 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 1,727$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.8 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,677$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,520$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,082$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.72 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,075$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,065$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.76 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,037$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.02 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.04 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,021$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 873.4$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.69 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 871.64$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 862.13$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.24 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 800$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.61 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 707.42$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.41 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 641.2$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.9 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 609.09$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.09 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 600.85$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.38 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 594.81$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 527.95$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 515$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 462.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 461.56$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.82 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 437.21$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 430.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 419.03$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 414.33$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.12 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 389.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 380.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 378.49$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.31 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 370.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 361.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.29 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 347.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.92 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 334.89$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 317.83$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 306.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.58 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 281.33$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…2e26backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 278.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 270.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Chicago Cubs | 66c | 264.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 260$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Chicago Cubs | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 239.19$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 480 | 49.6%238 W · 242 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 235.86$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 220.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 212.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 210.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 209.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 209.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 207.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 206.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 194$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 189.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 185.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 180$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 175$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 174.28$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.