MLB · resolved market
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7f5a2170e1de8a13c97afe67e9149ea3fbfe4b59e3458e44bfe7349051191cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 7,492$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 78c | 5,831$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,556.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 4,433$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,832$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 1,648$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.66 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 1,367$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 806.62$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.7 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 755.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 7cpaid | +563.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 715.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 535.64$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.61 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 337.84$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.03 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 270.18$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 233.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 229$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 216.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 181.19$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 156.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 125.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 123.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3652…2c8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 77.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 71.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 69.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 54.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 43.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 36.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 70c | 35.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 30.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 18.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492e…d5babacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.