MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6e0429f56be9935e665b0837b4e26651747f0b8915bab90a597eb91c5fa5829
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 126,494$59,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,162.45 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 100,359$54,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,625.06 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 20,844$6,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,836.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 18,750$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 16,811$8,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,910 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 16,085$8,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,481.26 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 13,090$6,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,596.61 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 11,173$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.69 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 11,111$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.72 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…2e6dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 7,678$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…4375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 7,227$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 7,179$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.31 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…ff78backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 6,392$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 4,870$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.26 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.31 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 3,945$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.62 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 3,596$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 3,402$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.92 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 3,285$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.97 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.98 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 2,222$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.78 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,143$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…442fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,053$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,737$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.19 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 1,714$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.57 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,660$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.66 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 1,211$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,053$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.05 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,035$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.68 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 975$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.75 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 919.97$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.38 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 898.01$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.95 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 764.18$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.02 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 749$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.48 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 733$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.49 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 727.36$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.07 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 720.98$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.19 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 630$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 600$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 576.72$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.75 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 574.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 565.18$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.21 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 562.13$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.92 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…6527backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 481.26$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.29 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 458.45$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 440$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 433.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 426$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 422.44$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.22 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 421.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 416.66$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.83 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 403$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 400$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef36…85e6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 397.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 384$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 342.68$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 339.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.31 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67d…8705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 321.96$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 321.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 318.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 307.44$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 292$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…29dcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 266.35$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 242.73$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 241.16$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 236.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 236.15$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 231.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 229.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 227.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 226.48$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 224.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…e3fcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 219$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 200$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 193.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 183.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…5005backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 181.36$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.