MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f580c3f604fc848e50236ffee6edc91c48e488689734a2ab7c9054f04b48122

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,886 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Over	46c	5,555$2,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,555.28	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under	54c	3,668$1,981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,687.25	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	54c	2,173$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.66	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over	50c	1,111$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.5	227	53.3%121 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	53c	1,105$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.43	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	52c	1,053$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.54	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	20c	683.3$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.78	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over	47c	679$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.13	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56a4…30a3backed Over	51c	635$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.1	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	50c	594$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.98	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Over	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+8.4wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3652…2c8bbacked Under	51c	493.17$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.17	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+3.4wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc68b…9de7backed Over	47c	470$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	78c	436.35$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.33	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under	54c	428.52$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.62	370	52.2%193 W · 177 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Over	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	693	51.9%360 W · 333 L	+26.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	48c	294.91$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.1	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	46c	260.7$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.92	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over	47c	215$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.05	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over	47c	206.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.25	209	45%94 W · 115 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	46c	201.85$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.85	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Under	54c	200$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	12c	198.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.58	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	43c	192.41$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.65	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	53c	190$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.3	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under	55c	182.56$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.56	652	48.3%315 W · 337 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Over	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under	78c	166.67$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	314	49.4%155 W · 159 L	-9.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under	54c	150$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	449	49.2%221 W · 228 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	45c	123.56$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.6	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under	53c	99.99$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x630a…f06bbacked Over	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-8.1wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over	48c	85$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.89	358	49.4%177 W · 181 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…37f1backed Under	54c	74.07$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.07	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Over	46c	59.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.37	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under	52c	52.63$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.26	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under	54c	50.56$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.26	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	50c	48.9$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.45	674	53%357 W · 317 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over	46c	47.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.93	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	54c	47.25$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.73	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	48c	45.85$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	46c	45.56$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.96	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Under	54c	44.64$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.53	132	60.6%80 W · 52 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67d…2de1backed Over	50c	41.28$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.64	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	193	52.8%102 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under	53c	37.83$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.83	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	297	47.1%140 W · 157 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	53c	35.39$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.63	258	50.4%130 W · 128 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…a6fabacked Over	47c	32.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b8…2350backed Over	50c	31.14$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bac…e59dbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	51c	28$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.72	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	47c	27.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.08	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under	60c	27.17$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.84	746	57.8%431 W · 315 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a6…252abacked Under	50c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	66cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over	48c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,804	53.8%970 W · 834 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97c…14edbacked Over	48c	23.13$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	46c	23$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.51	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked Over	48c	21.73$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event