MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fcec2f0675dd744efb55e662e0d7440d2cf01b3eefb2276b8b7e0e5e5692bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Under | 77c | 2,794$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.2 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 24c | 1,720$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.17 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 1,456$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 39c | 1,368$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.56 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 645.02$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Over | 53c | 392.15$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.84 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 235.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 11c | 189.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 65c | 180$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 78c | 142.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 46c | 120.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 38c | 115.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 24c | 104.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…d36ebacked Under | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Over | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…5069backed Over | 74c | 33.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc52…5bd3backed Over | 74c | 33.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…5982backed Over | 74c | 33.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bc…afb5backed Over | 74c | 33.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…6da5backed Over | 74c | 32.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64dc…e416backed Over | 74c | 32.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…8179backed Over | 74c | 32.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d06…7c29backed Over | 74c | 30.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5b…59b8backed Over | 74c | 30.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…0380backed Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…237bbacked Over | 74c | 29.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b5…abc1backed Over | 74c | 29.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…4289backed Over | 74c | 29.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c7b5backed Over | 74c | 29.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…7009backed Over | 74c | 29.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…e320backed Over | 74c | 28.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…bb84backed Over | 74c | 28.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…44e9backed Over | 74c | 28.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…f6f5backed Over | 74c | 28.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…24a8backed Over | 74c | 28.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…03ebbacked Over | 74c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 39c | 27.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…9778backed Over | 74c | 27.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7fbcbacked Over | 74c | 26.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…85a8backed Over | 74c | 26.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…7e20backed Over | 74c | 26.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…572dbacked Over | 74c | 26.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…cc49backed Over | 74c | 26.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 25.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…d016backed Over | 74c | 25.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 61c | 24.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 71c | 22.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Over | 75c | 13.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.