MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54373b130d290c329eddf8e53867ac1c4434dc3b5c43cd7b6cb3b57038ec37bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Los Angeles Dodgers, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 5,000$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.04 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 2,858$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.95 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 2,794$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.1 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 2,520$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.07 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,245$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 2,175$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.15 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 1,550$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 1,074$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.67 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 10c | 974$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 918.42$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 777$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 22c | 668.6$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 636.84$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.37 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 10c | 487$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 10c | 487$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 471.33$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 459$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 441.17$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 437$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 431.21$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.86 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 300.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 288.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 263.71$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 10c | 262.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 243.27$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 241.28$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 19c | 190$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 189.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 127.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 122.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 117$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 116.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 83.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 73.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 72.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 59.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 56.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…7027backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…da6bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 48.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 48.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 36.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 32.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 28.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 26.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…f525backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 21.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 19.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 18.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 17.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.