TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Seattle Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6820…1c19backed Seattle Storm54c60,000$32,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,492.413754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings46c44,184$20,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,759.71,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Seattle Storm53c16,339$8,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,680.9227949.1%137 W · 142 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings46c12,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,48085948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Dallas Wings49c10,652$5,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,46228753.3%153 W · 134 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Seattle Storm51c10,457$5,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3503745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Seattle Storm51c5,000$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.0510438.5%40 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dallas Wings49c4,500$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,31014248.6%69 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Seattle Storm50c3,963$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.57948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings49c3,374$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.41,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Dallas Wings48c3,152$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.9847246.8%221 W · 251 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings46c2,059$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.911,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Dallas Wings45c1,974$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.71250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Dallas Wings49c1,845$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.9542046.7%196 W · 224 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Dallas Wings49c1,510$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.28551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Dallas Wings51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm46c1,461$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9779648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings47c1,269$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.4329548.5%143 W · 152 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings46c1,174$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.0790449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Seattle Storm51c1,152$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9825247.6%120 W · 132 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Dallas Wings52c1,076$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.616845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Seattle Storm48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Storm13c746.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6738940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Seattle Storm24c492.68$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0716151.6%83 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Dallas Wings46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.788844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Dallas Wings48c417.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6476142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Dallas Wings48c403.22$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7611354%61 W · 52 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Dallas Wings53c391.94$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.713759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Seattle Storm54c329.26$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.87450%37 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings49c312$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6893248.8%455 W · 477 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Dallas Wings49c300.05$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0310451.9%54 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Seattle Storm51c286.63$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1810348.5%50 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Seattle Storm54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507250%36 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf1…b5afbacked Seattle Storm48c277.21$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.065341.5%22 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Seattle Storm13c269$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3125345.8%116 W · 137 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings52c266.35$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8539045.9%179 W · 211 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Seattle Storm9c265.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.182133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed Dallas Wings47c265.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.954055%22 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Seattle Storm53c215.05$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.982250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Dallas Wings47c213$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8913124.4%32 W · 99 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Dallas Wings50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Seattle Storm25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502536%9 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Seattle Storm7c193.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5210528.6%30 W · 75 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Storm50c185$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.512850.8%65 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Dallas Wings47c149$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9721150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Dallas Wings49c148.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.982050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Dallas Wings52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.626055%33 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Dallas Wings45c115.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9815453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Dallas Wings45c115.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9824656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Seattle Storm49c111.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.442030%6 W · 14 L-5.4wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-45.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Dallas Wings48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x506d…4b3ebacked Seattle Storm48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Dallas Wings48c90.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2214751%75 W · 72 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Dallas Wings46c84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.599563.2%60 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Dallas Wings52c76.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6334448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Dallas Wings46c69.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.087443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Dallas Wings49c62.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.042437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Seattle Storm51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Dallas Wings52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Dallas Wings45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed Seattle Storm54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255850%29 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Dallas Wings45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.446136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm54c43.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4665751.4%338 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Dallas Wings51c43.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1471245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Seattle Storm50c42.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.141942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed Seattle Storm49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.094456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Seattle Storm52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a13…0512backed Seattle Storm54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Dallas Wings46c35.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3652…2c8bbacked Seattle Storm47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Dallas Wings49c30.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5118144.2%80 W · 101 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dallas Wings73c27.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3939150.4%197 W · 194 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Dallas Wings45c26.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Dallas Wings45c26.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.724854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Dallas Wings49c24.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.758149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Seattle Storm52c22.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9812343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Dallas Wings51c21.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.476248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.