WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55075a900e76e6f962ac35707dc0ae80ad7432a0854725112fcf56d311b65b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 9,619$4,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.28 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 6,082$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.63 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 4,599$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.45 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 4,101$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.89 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c00…64a6backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 3,003$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Seattle Storm | 44c | 2,745$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 1,492$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.63 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 1,440$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.65 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 837.16$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.32 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 773.75$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.45 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 361$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 334.39$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.89 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 250.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9085…34fabacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Dallas Wings | 80c | 245.86$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Seattle Storm | 21c | 238.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 225.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 212.34$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…5448backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 209.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 178.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 122.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 117$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 106$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 93.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 76.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 75.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 64.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 57.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 56.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 52.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 49.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 49.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 43.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 40.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 31.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 30.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 24.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 19.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)this page
- Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.