WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3eba74099b4ad326b6e984fa6aefdf80bdd3a25445cd4490b584c534cdc545c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 50c | 2,250$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.5 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 1,525$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.28 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under | 53c | 1,060$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…8d12backed Under | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 850.51$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.24 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 664.56$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 36c | 526.39$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.63 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 475.69$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc50…f8debacked Under | 52c | 326.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 52c | 220.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 201.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…167ebacked Under | 50c | 87.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Over | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 49c | 49.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Over | 48c | 44.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 30.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…cc06backed Over | 52c | 23.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 54c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 54c | 21.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Over | 50c | 20.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Over | 65c | 16.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5this page
- Jessica Shepard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Paige Bueckers: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.