TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz Berkieta

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michele Ribecaiof Michele Ribecai, Tomasz Berkieta
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,641 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca97…49f6backed Michele Ribecai68c28,369$19,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,069.3110448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tomasz Berkieta32c15,267$4,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,870.79,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tomasz Berkieta4c11,589$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.58,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Michele Ribecai62c4,998$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.094,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf00…1199backed Tomasz Berkieta33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006456.3%36 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tomasz Berkieta38c3,005$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.776,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd231…633cbacked Tomasz Berkieta34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0206058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Tomasz Berkieta38c2,996$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.662,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Michele Ribecai66c2,995$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.4531653.2%168 W · 148 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Tomasz Berkieta11c2,978$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.571,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tomasz Berkieta13c2,920$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.974,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Tomasz Berkieta33c2,917$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.1944032.7%144 W · 296 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Tomasz Berkieta39c2,502$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.931540.6%128 W · 187 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tomasz Berkieta24c2,400$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.5511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Tomasz Berkieta11c1,777$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19771725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed Tomasz Berkieta7c1,423$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010546.7%49 W · 56 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Tomasz Berkieta39c1,400$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54632935.6%117 W · 212 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Tomasz Berkieta16c1,263$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014518.6%27 W · 118 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Tomasz Berkieta33c1,156$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.6127248.2%131 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Michele Ribecai64c1,135$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.261,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Tomasz Berkieta45c1,042$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7143647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Michele Ribecai69c894$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.551,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Michele Ribecai65c893.23$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.964,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Tomasz Berkieta4c802.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.242546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Tomasz Berkieta4c761.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9889741.7%374 W · 523 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michele Ribecai78c738.58$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.878,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Tomasz Berkieta4c596.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5237547.2%177 W · 198 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Tomasz Berkieta32c593$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.765,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michele Ribecai58c547.38$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.99,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Tomasz Berkieta29c530.02$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.611,07654.8%590 W · 486 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Tomasz Berkieta6c492.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3970537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Tomasz Berkieta22c488.73$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.883,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Michele Ribecai74c480.01$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.052,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Michele Ribecai67c470.15$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1518830.9%58 W · 130 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Tomasz Berkieta43c449.03$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0463537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa65…b0bbbacked Tomasz Berkieta28c446.43$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257739%30 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Michele Ribecai70c445$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.548851.6%252 W · 236 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Michele Ribecai66c422$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4846658.6%273 W · 193 L+24.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f73…667dbacked Michele Ribecai76c414.93$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.931540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tomasz Berkieta38c413.97$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.263,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Tomasz Berkieta38c395.66$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010440.4%42 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Michele Ribecai66c376$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8441758.5%244 W · 173 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Tomasz Berkieta36c375$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13546640.6%189 W · 277 L-36.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Michele Ribecai62c349.34$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4296945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Tomasz Berkieta38c346.39$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.872,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Michele Ribecai75c331.52$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.31,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Michele Ribecai66c326$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8439257.7%226 W · 166 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Tomasz Berkieta37c324.69$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4374654.8%409 W · 337 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Michele Ribecai66c324.12$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.240659.9%243 W · 163 L+30.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Michele Ribecai66c318$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1232963.8%210 W · 119 L+36.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Tomasz Berkieta29c307.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.384,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Tomasz Berkieta34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10231035.2%109 W · 201 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Michele Ribecai66c290$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.638358.2%223 W · 160 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Tomasz Berkieta9c288.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7438141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Michele Ribecai66c270.79$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.43,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Michele Ribecai57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.166157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Michele Ribecai61c255$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Michele Ribecai76c245.25$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2639648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e54…e773backed Michele Ribecai61c240.33$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.546952.2%36 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Michele Ribecai62c240.33$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3313337.6%50 W · 83 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad5c…17eebacked Michele Ribecai62c240.33$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.332748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Tomasz Berkieta41c239.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.391,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Tomasz Berkieta39c227$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.531,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Tomasz Berkieta39c226.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5129237.7%110 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Tomasz Berkieta32c223.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3776355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Tomasz Berkieta39c205.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Michele Ribecai52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9622846.5%106 W · 122 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Michele Ribecai66c192.42$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4236342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e6…4be3backed Tomasz Berkieta39c176.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0819347.2%91 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Michele Ribecai58c175$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163d…7c69backed Tomasz Berkieta22c171.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8414715.6%23 W · 124 L-32.8wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Michele Ribecai66c169.88$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.765664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Michele Ribecai63c155.45$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.951,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Michele Ribecai69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.938278%64 W · 18 L+11.6wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x92f3…b21cbacked Michele Ribecai66c144.68$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.195468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Tomasz Berkieta31c141.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.161,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Michele Ribecai64c140$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.425546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Michele Ribecai58c130.89$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.392,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Tomasz Berkieta36c129.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4495050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Michele Ribecai56c121.69$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1486647.9%415 W · 451 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Tomasz Berkieta44c106.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.813,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc475…8eefbacked Michele Ribecai59c104.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.963548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Tomasz Berkieta44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Michele Ribecai78c102.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0528548.4%138 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Michele Ribecai63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Michele Ribecai61c99.6$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9653946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Michele Ribecai67c98.09$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3764147.7%306 W · 335 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Michele Ribecai62c95.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4325048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…3ccebacked Tomasz Berkieta56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Michele Ribecai72c87.93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.451,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Michele Ribecai63c83.59$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3471045.4%322 W · 388 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Tomasz Berkieta36c79.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.572,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Michele Ribecai65c78.36$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3654955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Michele Ribecai79c76.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3421063.8%134 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb0…2329backed Tomasz Berkieta37c75.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.96735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8102…c618backed Michele Ribecai67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6314060.7%85 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Michele Ribecai64c69.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.123364.4%150 W · 83 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b16…358abacked Michele Ribecai74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Michele Ribecai69c60.48$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.757851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Michele Ribecai68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0355941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.