TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kosice: Peter Fajta vs Paulo Dos Santos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Peter Fajtaof Peter Fajta, Paulo Dos Santos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed Peter Fajta67c1,878$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.944,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Peter Fajta53c1,282$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.459458.5%55 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Paulo Dos Santos6c1,254$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3378840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Paulo Dos Santos47c1,111$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.179348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Paulo Dos Santos37c1,036$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.878,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe5…f419backed Peter Fajta56c872.58$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.581457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Paulo Dos Santos48c790.04$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.2257842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Paulo Dos Santos37c789.72$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.142,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Paulo Dos Santos37c745.47$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.296,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paulo Dos Santos29c655.16$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.588,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Paulo Dos Santos44c618.25$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.0385634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Paulo Dos Santos19c509.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.446,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Peter Fajta76c487.65$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.011,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Paulo Dos Santos45c345.39$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7689859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Peter Fajta64c312.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.818655.8%48 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Paulo Dos Santos45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Paulo Dos Santos45c217.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.831,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Paulo Dos Santos45c203.2$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4465952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Peter Fajta54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Paulo Dos Santos30c156.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.041,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Paulo Dos Santos47c151.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3423247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Peter Fajta70c150.8$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.249,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Peter Fajta59c150.31$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3113743.1%59 W · 78 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe153…8cecbacked Paulo Dos Santos40c148.1$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Peter Fajta66c134.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.94,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Paulo Dos Santos41c127.68$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5216029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Paulo Dos Santos28c91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.484,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Paulo Dos Santos21c89.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.421,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b53…1fe3backed Paulo Dos Santos45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012560.8%76 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Peter Fajta67c82.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.59374.2%69 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Paulo Dos Santos36c72.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6770456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Paulo Dos Santos44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.811050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f7…d7debacked Paulo Dos Santos22c65.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Peter Fajta56c61.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.347157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa721…6100backed Peter Fajta55c51.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Peter Fajta65c51.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1491755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Peter Fajta55c50.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7624546.5%114 W · 131 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Peter Fajta76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1226563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Peter Fajta58c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Paulo Dos Santos45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Paulo Dos Santos43c44.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1959440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Peter Fajta55c43.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9230554.4%166 W · 139 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Peter Fajta56c43.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0113151.9%68 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Paulo Dos Santos34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Paulo Dos Santos45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.337158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Paulo Dos Santos47c28.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.587,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Paulo Dos Santos45c26.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.031,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Paulo Dos Santos45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.253,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked Peter Fajta54c24.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.363268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Paulo Dos Santos45c24.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8132732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Peter Fajta57c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.345053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Peter Fajta71c16.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6820841.8%87 W · 121 L-26.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.