CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd2b288dc00521a9d7f878d391a6cb4d532852c8584aa13cae6a0ab1c4377d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Tricked, AM Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed AM Gaming | 45c | 1,123$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.39 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Tricked | 55c | 920$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed AM Gaming | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked AM Gaming | 45c | 740.08$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.1 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Tricked | 76c | 565.48$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tricked | 53c | 296.64$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Tricked | 51c | 249.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed AM Gaming | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Tricked | 41c | 91.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked AM Gaming | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…f1dbbacked AM Gaming | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked AM Gaming | 31c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked AM Gaming | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Tricked | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Tricked | 52c | 65.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed AM Gaming | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed AM Gaming | 63c | 62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AM Gaming | 46c | 54.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa721…6100backed Tricked | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked AM Gaming | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Tricked | 61c | 42.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed AM Gaming | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed AM Gaming | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Tricked | 55c | 39.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tricked | 41c | 39.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked AM Gaming | 40c | 37.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed AM Gaming | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked AM Gaming | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Tricked | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed AM Gaming | 46c | 24.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…2df0backed AM Gaming | 48c | 23.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked AM Gaming | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Tricked | 50c | 20.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked AM Gaming | 69c | 15.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 PlayoffsTricked won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTricked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.