CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f47a9db9887707c8af84b0ad87b5511e2d93607781f2d9f5cadf461ac46dfd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilmixof G2 Ares, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 Ares | 74c | 15,893$11,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,735.65 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Ares | 74c | 10,864$7,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.2 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7974…5ddcbacked Lilmix | 27c | 6,429$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Lilmix | 25c | 2,900$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.96 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Lilmix | 25c | 2,222$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.43 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed G2 Ares | 69c | 2,000$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.92 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Lilmix | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Lilmix | 26c | 1,689$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.99 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Lilmix | 26c | 1,581$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.77 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f27…4fb3backed G2 Ares | 51c | 1,480$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed Lilmix | 26c | 1,419$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.68 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 Ares | 74c | 1,357$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Lilmix | 26c | 1,272$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.91 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Lilmix | 30c | 1,239$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.57 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…bbf0backed Lilmix | 26c | 1,202$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 35c | 1,046$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.03 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed G2 Ares | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lilmix | 53c | 975.26$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.34 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed G2 Ares | 51c | 877.53$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.45 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Lilmix | 27c | 599.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Lilmix | 26c | 589.3$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.08 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Lilmix | 26c | 588.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Lilmix | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x543d…89f8backed Lilmix | 27c | 571.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…0ae8backed Lilmix | 26c | 568$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Lilmix | 26c | 568$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.32 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Lilmix | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Lilmix | 27c | 427.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.35 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked G2 Ares | 51c | 406.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed G2 Ares | 16c | 400.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Lilmix | 50c | 400.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Lilmix | 26c | 384.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.62 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Lilmix | 27c | 356.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.07 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Lilmix | 48c | 354$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lilmix | 26c | 350$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked Lilmix | 26c | 333.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Lilmix | 26c | 314.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.51 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 58c | 303.34$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Lilmix | 25c | 287.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.05 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Lilmix | 47c | 285.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Lilmix | 26c | 267.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.11 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2171…01acbacked Lilmix | 26c | 254$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Lilmix | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…e9c3backed Lilmix | 27c | 229.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 57c | 212.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Lilmix | 27c | 205.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed G2 Ares | 11c | 199.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed G2 Ares | 74c | 193$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed G2 Ares | 12c | 193$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Lilmix | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Lilmix | 54c | 189.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed G2 Ares | 48c | 182.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lilmix | 29c | 179.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed G2 Ares | 75c | 166.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Lilmix | 26c | 161$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.14 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Lilmix | 48c | 160$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Lilmix | 26c | 150.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…6b99backed Lilmix | 26c | 148.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed G2 Ares | 40c | 147.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Lilmix | 26c | 146.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares | 52c | 126.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…7127backed G2 Ares | 33c | 123.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed G2 Ares | 74c | 122.44$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed G2 Ares | 72c | 114$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…1d37backed Lilmix | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed G2 Ares | 74c | 109.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Ares | 45c | 108.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Lilmix | 66c | 108$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Lilmix | 28c | 105.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…3518backed G2 Ares | 75c | 103.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 58c | 103.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…bd19backed Lilmix | 26c | 103$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +291.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Lilmix | 27c | 103$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Lilmix | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Lilmix | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked G2 Ares | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed G2 Ares | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97d…e699backed Lilmix | 64c | 93.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…1873backed G2 Ares | 74c | 89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Lilmix | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…d6e9backed Lilmix | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Lilmix | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed G2 Ares | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lilmix | 26c | 74.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed G2 Ares | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed G2 Ares | 73c | 72.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed G2 Ares | 29c | 72.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lilmix | 26c | 69.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lilmix | 25c | 69.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Lilmix | 26c | 59.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked G2 Ares | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Lilmix | 26c | 52.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa721…6100backed Lilmix | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…45fbbacked Lilmix | 26c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked G2 Ares | 46c | 49.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 254 | 57.5%146 W · 108 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Lilmix | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerLilmix won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerLilmix won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.