Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8fafdcbeee0b9f530e8bd333e3dc180c4ec072b99f434937482cb65676a47c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Azure Dragon Gamingof Division One, Azure Dragon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 61c | 16,000$9,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,310.83 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Division One | 42c | 5,897$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.87 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Division One | 30c | 4,259$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.82 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Division One | 50c | 2,914$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.8 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Division One | 37c | 1,251$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.57 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Division One | 46c | 876.63$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.82 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Division One | 46c | 686.24$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.24 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 48c | 564$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.36 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 52c | 478.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 64c | 434.64$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.36 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Division One | 28c | 416.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Division One | 40c | 409.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Division One | 28c | 332.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Division One | 19c | 312$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 45c | 299.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 56c | 268.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Division One | 17c | 173$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Division One | 18c | 170$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Division One | 70c | 131.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Division One | 39c | 127.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x660a…3d22backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 44c | 126.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4719…8d69backed Division One | 41c | 122.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Division One | 37c | 113.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 36c | 100.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Division One | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Division One | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 69c | 69.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Division One | 43c | 64.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…a278backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 69c | 64.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 50c | 63.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Division One | 42c | 59.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Division One | 32c | 46.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 45c | 43.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Division One | 36c | 42.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Division One | 48c | 31.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Division One | 42c | 29.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c63…8d8dbacked Division One | 54c | 28.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Division One | 61c | 16.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 68c | 15.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageAzure Dragon Gaming won
- Valorant: Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAzure Dragon Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.