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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd888…3c9fbacked EDward Gaming72c53,477$38,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,812.9812155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed XLG Gaming44c31,590$13,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,943.3854851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked EDward Gaming61c28,567$17,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,141.1878162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming45c19,221$8,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,602.5824145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked XLG Gaming39c14,978$5,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,816.7929555.9%165 W · 130 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked XLG Gaming40c13,726$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,460.065358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed EDward Gaming54c9,185$4,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,251.5626249.6%130 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed XLG Gaming31c7,020$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.1928548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f14…1262backed EDward Gaming54c5,417$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.67560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked EDward Gaming45c3,900$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.491450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked EDward Gaming60c3,680$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.0728847.6%137 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked EDward Gaming44c3,471$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.7611854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed XLG Gaming37c3,083$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.5913345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked XLG Gaming35c3,025$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.731637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked EDward Gaming76c2,934$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.663873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked XLG Gaming37c2,924$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.5110951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming19c2,875$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.6990244.3%400 W · 502 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked EDward Gaming80c2,830$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.996150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked XLG Gaming34c2,735$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.9428541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed EDward Gaming61c2,412$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.85655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming20c2,155$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.191,31843.9%578 W · 740 L-44.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed XLG Gaming56c1,825$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.851346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed EDward Gaming48c1,811$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.3315553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf48a…3594backed EDward Gaming56c1,756$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.289100%9 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked EDward Gaming70c1,668$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.8779044.3%350 W · 440 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked EDward Gaming55c1,569$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.8224457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed XLG Gaming39c1,528$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.911255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked XLG Gaming51c1,485$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.861752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed EDward Gaming59c1,185$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1335457.3%203 W · 151 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed XLG Gaming49c1,122$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.757643.4%33 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming36c1,070$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.231,38647.3%655 W · 731 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed EDward Gaming47c1,033$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.46637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed EDward Gaming63c1,011$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7065…f73cbacked XLG Gaming30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked EDward Gaming52c999.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48012948.1%62 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7a…a656backed EDward Gaming53c977.05$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.454040%16 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked EDward Gaming64c973.47$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.6621136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked EDward Gaming50c913.25$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.451,61945.1%730 W · 889 L-25.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed EDward Gaming53c903.77$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.7710956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked XLG Gaming39c888$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.3255452.3%290 W · 264 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked EDward Gaming58c862.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.556063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed EDward Gaming63c801.3$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.2155142.3%233 W · 318 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9e…102abacked XLG Gaming45c799.99$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed XLG Gaming30c690.64$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.245250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed EDward Gaming62c645.14$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.157045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked EDward Gaming59c600.6$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2535142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked XLG Gaming40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed XLG Gaming50c480.85$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24035153.8%189 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EDward Gaming58c462.49$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.561,74846.2%808 W · 940 L-2.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed95…6e1abacked EDward Gaming49c458.52$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.511450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed XLG Gaming68c453.07$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.926755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked EDward Gaming62c451.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8812750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked XLG Gaming29c447.6$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.512147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed XLG Gaming55c435.11$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.86450%32 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb803…0fdfbacked XLG Gaming37c422.5$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823e…dca8backed XLG Gaming37c422.5$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed XLG Gaming43c421.96$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2625347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed XLG Gaming20c410$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8214645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming48c404.8$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1912656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed EDward Gaming78c391.68$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.163253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed EDward Gaming60c387.99$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.494766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed XLG Gaming50c354.83$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.439640.6%39 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed XLG Gaming38c343.68$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.677445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed XLG Gaming43c324$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3223447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc3…5827backed EDward Gaming61c314.08$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked EDward Gaming53c306.71$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.837051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed XLG Gaming18c306.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.54045%18 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe844…3d42backed EDward Gaming53c303.21$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.214660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed XLG Gaming19c300$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.889837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed XLG Gaming37c290.89$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6534739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1272…8144backed EDward Gaming61c288.5$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.682263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed EDward Gaming46c282.58$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.596339.7%25 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked EDward Gaming61c282$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.988646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed XLG Gaming43c276.01$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3226634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed XLG Gaming22c272.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5911843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed EDward Gaming38c270$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.440944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming44c262.66$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.821,61437.5%605 W · 1,009 L-75.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked XLG Gaming55c259$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4511845.8%54 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed XLG Gaming39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-77.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked EDward Gaming79c252.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6318261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb066…b7aabacked EDward Gaming45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked XLG Gaming40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed EDward Gaming50c247.9$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9517250.6%87 W · 85 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45fa…f86fbacked XLG Gaming38c247.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.171030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed XLG Gaming55c241$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210655.7%59 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked EDward Gaming63c238.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed EDward Gaming60c237.79$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.124926.5%13 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x178b…8aa7backed XLG Gaming37c235.35$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked EDward Gaming69c231.22$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.032352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming64c226.47$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1894349.5%467 W · 476 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed XLG Gaming19c225$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.552149.7%259 W · 262 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed EDward Gaming46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3919334.7%67 W · 126 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed XLG Gaming33c214$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9828541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x960a…4a11backed XLG Gaming37c211.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57bf…85bdbacked XLG Gaming37c211.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd832…4ab0backed XLG Gaming37c200.35$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed EDward Gaming59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed XLG Gaming45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked XLG Gaming39c196$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5933153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed EDward Gaming45c195.08$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.35054%27 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.